Leeds haven’t beaten the Red Devils since 2010, but we can see them springing an upset at Elland Road.
Leeds vs Man Utd Betting Predictions
Odds courtesy of bet365, correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
- Leeds to win @ 13/8 with bet365
- Both teams to score @ 4/6 with bet365
- Over 2.5 goals @ 17/20 with bet365
A rare Roses rivalry win for Yorkshire
Leeds United can take hope from Manchester United’s performance against Wolverhampton Wanderers in midweek. The Red Devils looked entirely beatable against the worst team in the Premier League right now, and the Whites have been strong at home, too. Leeds haven’t beaten their Roses rivals since 2010, but we can see that changing here.
Joe Rodon picked up an injury against Sunderland and could miss out, while Sean Longstaff and Daniel James also remain sidelined. United have an even longer list of absentees. Mason Mount, Kobbie Mainoo, Bruno Fernandes, Matthijs de Ligt and Harry Maguire are all doubts. It remains to be seen if any of them will be able to turn out at Elland Road.
So with home advantage and a bit of form, coupled with the Red Devils’ issues, we can see a Leeds victory on the horizon.
- Leeds vs Man Utd Bet 1: Leeds to win @ 13/8 with bet365
Plenty of action at both ends
Not a single team in the Premier League this season has been involved in more games where both teams have scored than United have. It’s happened in 74% of their matches, and away from home, that figure jumps to 89%. 78% of Leeds’ matches at Elland Road this season have seen both teams score. It’s not hard to see this one having goals at both ends.
United have had some real issues defensively. Their record of 29 goals conceded is the seventh-worst in the division. The Whites are one of the six that have conceded more, though, and we can see them causing each other plenty of problems on Sunday. Dominic Calvert-Lewin could be a handful. The ex-Everton man is in inspired form and has scored against United previously.
- Leeds vs Man Utd Bet 2: Both teams to score @ 4/6 with bet365
Expect a few goals
Building on the Both Teams To Score market, it makes sense to look at goals in general for this clash in Yorkshire. Only Manchester City have been involved in more games with over 2.5 goals than Leeds this season. No team has seen a higher percentage of their home matches see over 2.5 goals than Leeds. There have been 4+ goals scored in each of their last three fixtures at Elland Road, too
Meanwhile, United’s away games have been great fun for the neutral this season - 89% of them have resulted in over 2.5 goals being scored. Daniel Farke will see plenty of ways in as he looks for what would be a massive win for his side. Ruben Amorim will be in the same boat.
- Leeds vs Man Utd Bet 3: Over 2.5 goals @ 17/20 with bet365
Our analysis: Form of both teams
Score prediction - Leeds 2-1 Man Utd
Goalscorers Prediction - Leeds: Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Anton Stach - Man Utd: Matheus Cunha
Leeds United have had a difficult run of fixtures of late. Aston Villa, Manchester City, Chelsea, Liverpool twice and Sunderland away in the space of eight matches is an unenviable run. But beating the Blues, drawing with the Reds and thumping Crystal Palace will have done them the world of good.
The mood has shifted at Manchester United once again. The Red Devils have only lost two of their last 13 matches, but a dire performance against Wolverhampton Wanderers left a sour taste. They do, however, begin 2026 in sixth place, and within touching distance of the Champions League places.
Probable lineups for Leeds vs Man Utd
Leeds expected lineup: Perri, Gudmundsson, Bijol, Struijk, Bogle, Aaronson, Ampadu, Stach, Tanaka, Calvert-Lewin, Okafor
Man Utd expected lineup: Lammens, Yoro, Martinez, Shaw, Casemiro, Ugarte, Dalot, Dorgu, Cunha, Mount, Sesko