Italy v Spain Betting Special: Set pieces could offer a 10/1 value bet

Last updated
Getty Images
While Morata and Pelle lead the market to find the back of the net for their respective sides our tipster feels a Barcelona defender could prove the match winner in Paris

With arguably the two best defensive teams in the tournament meeting in the last 16, Monday's match in Paris could well see few goals. The game should however have the competition's leading scorers on display and Spain's Alvaro Morata will be hoping to add to his tally of three goals against Antonio Conte's men. 

The striker is likely to come up against some familiar faces after two seasons with Juventus, but he has been warned by his former team-mates to expect some rough treatment as Italy look to exact revenge for their defeat in the final of Euro 2012.

Morata is the shortest priced player to score at anytime with Betway offering him at 13/10 (2.30) and that is no surprise given the fact that neither side boast particular riches in attack. Spain's often pleasing passing style can at times be undermined by their seeming lack of an instictive finisher at centre forward, and while Morata can lead the line extremely well, he can also be wasteful on occasion.

Italy's main goal threat Graziano Pelle is also not a striker known for his ruthless finishing with the Southampton man spurning a number of excellent chances in the opening game against Belgium before scoring in injury time. He can be backed at 3/1 (4.00) to find the back of the net, the same price as Spain's David Silva and just behind Nolito who is offered at 9/4 (3.25)

Yet if this is set to be a tight game, and all the indications are that it will be, then perhaps looking further back in the field for a goalscorer could be a more logical bet. La Roja boast two big centre-backs who love to get forward in Gerard Pique and Sergio Ramos and both boast impressive goal returns for defenders. 

Pique of course was the match winner in the opening game against Czech Republic with his late header, while Ramos has had a couple superb of opportunities to score so far this tournament, not least his missed penalty against Croatia. Set pieces could be key in the game and Pique and Ramos will be extremely dangerous with the Barcelona man offered at 10/1 (11.00) to find the back of the net and his Real Madrid counterpart priced at 13/2 (7.50).

For Italy Lorenzo Insigne is likely to come into the side to replace flying wing-back Antonio Candreva and the Napoli man scored the last time these two sides met in a friendly back in March. Insigne is offered at 7/2 (3.50) to score at anytime, while centre-back Giorgio Chiellini who scored two goals in qualifying for the tournament is offered at a healthy 16/1 (17.00).

Gerard Pique to score at anytime at 10/1 (11.00) for a 0.5pt stake with Betway

Next article:
Europa League last 32 draw: Arsenal face BATE, Chelsea matched with Malmo & Celtic get Valencia
Next article:
Messi, Mourinho, Madrid and the winners and losers of the Champions League knockout draw
Next article:
Sturridge, Origi, Firmino, Shaqiri - Liverpool's super-subs are making the difference in the title race
Next article:
Mourinho's coaching failures exposed yet again & five Premier League tactical lessons we learned
Next article:
'There is no need' - Rudiger won't rush contract talks but is happy at Chelsea