Champions League Betting Tips: How Liverpool defied 40/1 odds to reach the final

Mohamed Salah Liverpool
The Reds will face off against Real Madrid on Saturday and we take a look back at how they went from rank outsiders to reaching the showpiece event

Liverpool’s run to the Champions League has been nothing short of impressive.

The Reds were 20/1 (21.0) with bet365 to win the Champions League at the start of the season, some way behind the likes of Real Madrid (5/1), Paris Saint-Germain (7/1) and Manchester City (11/1).

Even a favourable group stage draw didn’t shorten Liverpool’s odds, with the online bookmaker refusing to budge after Jurgen Klopp’s men got placed in Group E with Sevilla, Spartak Moscow and Maribor.

Liverpool’s position as outsiders seemed justified when they drew their first two matches of the tournament despite being odds-on favourites in both, with a stalemate in Russia landing at odds of 19/5 (4.80). They were now out at a forgettable 40/1 (41.0) to win the competition.

Wijnaldum Roma Liverpool Champions League

A pair of wins over Maribor, including a 7-0 victory in Slovenia which was a 50/1 (51.0) shot in the correct score market, put the Reds back on track, and they looked good value at 7/5 (2.40) to win in Sevilla but surrendered a 3-0 lead to come away with only a point.

Another 7-0 demolition followed - this time at home to Spartak - and thanks to Sevilla’s inconsistency, the Reds topped the group. This was crucial as they would get drawn to face Group G runners up Porto, with the Merseysiders subsequently cut to a respectable 16/1 (17.0) in the outright market.

Liverpool were just 1/3 (1.33) to make it through to the quarter-final, and they duly obliged by blitzing Porto 5-0 in Portugal at odds of 80/1 (81.0) before playing out a goalless draw at Anfield.

Liverpool Champions League Run graphic

They were still 10/1 (11.0) as the field was cut down to just eight sides, though, and they were then edged out to 12/1 (13.0) after the luck of the draw revealed a mouthwatering tie with Manchester City.

Interestingly, this was the first time Liverpool were installed as underdogs in any match. Klopp’s men were 12/5 (3.40) to qualify, compared to City at 3/10 (1.30), whilst the first leg at Anfield saw the hosts priced as 21/10 (3.10) outsiders.

However, a famous 3-0 win followed and suddenly the Reds were 11/2 (6.50) to lift the Champions League. Although they conceded after just two minutes in the return leg, Liverpool defied 19/4 (5.75) odds to win on the night and book their place in the semi-finals.

Liverpool celebration Mane Firmino Can

The balls fell kindly once again for Liverpool, who avoided both Real Madrid and Bayern Munich to draw AS Roma, and suddenly the Reds were now just 2/1 (3.0) to win the competition.

In fact, they were also 4/11 (1.36) to make it to the final in Kyiv – odds which were slashed to 1/20 (1.05) when the Reds triumphed 5-2 in the first leg at Anfield. Even in the Italian capital, Liverpool were favourites on the night at 6/4 (2.50) but fell 4-2 to a Roma side priced at 8/5 (2.60) in the match odds market.

Liverpool are understandably outsiders to beat Real Madrid in 90 minutes in the final at 21/10 (3.10), or alternatively they can be backed at 6/5 (2.20) to lift the trophy.

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