Since their 3-2 loss to the Spaniards at Wembley, England have won four in a row, keeping clean sheets in three of those matches.
Best bets for Spain vs England
- England +1 (1st Half handicap 3-way) at odds of 1.70 with BET99
- England (Draw no bet) at odds of 3.80 with BET99
- Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.20 with BET99
All odds are courtesy of BET99, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
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Three Lions have made a habit of fast starts
England have started strongly in the 2026-27 Nations League. Morgan Rogers struck inside 25 minutes on Thursday night to ensure a 1-0 lead at the interval against Croatia on Thursday. They were 2-0 up at half-time against Czechia last month. They were 4-0 up in Rijeka when they thrashed Croatia 7-0.
Spain will obviously be a tougher challenge. The Three Lions led Spain 2-1 at the interval at Wembley in September. This bet lands even if England are level at the interval.
Spain can once again call upon their key man in Lamine Yamal. The market gives an implied probability of around 59% for England to avoid losing at half-time. We believe it should be higher, making it our top value play from our Spain vs England predictions.
- Spain vs England Bet 1: England +1 (1st Half handicap 3-way) at odds of 1.70 with BET99
La Roja have little to play for in Madrid
Both teams have already qualified for the last eight of the 2026-27 Nations League. Sunday’s battle becomes all about England’s case for revenge. Thomas Tuchel’s side will be keen to avenge their 3-2 loss at Wembley.
The top spot is still the ultimate prize here. Winning the group does theoretically secure an easier quarter-final tie. Thomas Tuchel will be quietly confident of achieving a result. England’s xG (14.5) is superior to Spain’s 11.6. The loss of Rodri, Dani Olmo and Eric Garcia will affect La Roja’s spine.
With this bet, our stake is returned if the game ends level. However, the likelihood of an England win should be far greater than the implied probability of 26% set out by the bookmakers.
- Spain vs England Bet 2: England (Draw no bet) at odds of 3.80 with BET99
Recent meetings have been packed with goals
Three of the last five head-to-head meetings between these nations have yielded four or more goals. With Rodri and Eric Garcia missing, the Spanish spine will undoubtedly be affected. This should lead to more goalscoring opportunities for the Three Lions.
England’s defence is far from assured. Marc Guehi will miss a second consecutive game running, while Ezri Konsa is doubtful. Dan Burn had a solid game against Croatia in their absence on Thursday, but the visitors made chances.
With both sides already guaranteed a place in the last eight, we expect a really entertaining clash here. Backing over 3.5 goals at around 45% implied probability makes sense here. It’s a value position too, since three of their last five games have cleared this line.
- Spain vs England Bet 3: Over 3.5 goals at odds of 2.20 with BET99
Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction: Spain 2-2 England
- Goalscorers prediction: Spain: Yamal, Oyarzabal - England: Kane, Bellingham
Spain entertain England at the Metropolitano on Sunday, with top spot in Group A3 of the 2026-27 Nations League firmly at stake.
Although both teams have already qualified for the last eight, finishing top should ensure an easier quarter-final tie. Spain just need to avoid defeat to England on Sunday to secure top spot.
Luis de la Fuente’s men strolled to a 2-0 win over Czechia in Prague on Thursday. Goals from Alex Baena and Marc Pubill were enough to seal a routine win. De la Fuente will also welcome Lamine Yamal back into the squad after a slight knee problem.
However, Rodri, Dani Olmo and Eric Garcia are all still absent. Mikel Oyarzabal was a late absentee from Spain’s squad on Thursday. He’s expected to recover from illness to be fit for Sunday.
England also landed another win on Thursday, overcoming a stubborn Croatia in a 2-1 victory at Wembley.
Skipper Harry Kane scored the winning goal from the penalty spot on his record 126th appearance. Marc Guehi is still sidelined with a hip injury, while Ezri Konsa could return after a knee issue.
Probable lineups for Spain vs England
Spain expected lineup: Simon, Pubill, Huijsen, Cubarsi, Cucurella, Zubimendi, Pedri, Yamal, Baena, Nico Williams, Oyarzabal
England expected lineup: Pickford, Alexander-Arnold, Quansah, Burn, Hall, Rice, Anderson, Rogers, Bellingham, Gordon, Kane