USMNT World Cup Predictions: Futures, Betting and Odds

After an excellent Group Stage performance, in which it won Group D, the USMNT takes on Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Round of 32 at 8:00pm ET on Wednesday. Before the USMNT’s Knockout Stage campaign gets underway, we’ll check out the USMNT World Cup odds.

USMNT World Cup Predictions

By winning its first two matches, over Paraguay and Australia, the USMNT both qualified for the Knockout Stage and finished in first place in Group D. Heading into the tournament, the USMNT’s odds to qualify and USMNT Group D odds were -1000 and +130, respectively

Odds are courtesy of US Sportsbooks, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

As things stand, the USMNT is a heavy favorite to take down Bosnia and Herzegovina and advance to the Round of 16. The USMNT has made the Round of 16 in three straight WC appearances, but hasn’t advanced to the Quarterfinals since 2002.

One of Belgium or Senegal would be waiting for the USMNT in the Round of 16, which would be in Seattle. The home crowd in Seattle was excellent in the USMNT’s 2-0 win over Australia and would be a major advantage once again.

Still, the USMNT futures odds are +105 to get to the last eight, which represents good value for bettors. Belgium looked quite pedestrian in the Group Stage, while Senegal lost twice and fell 3-2 to the USMNT in a pre-tournament friendly.

Making the Semifinals would be the high watermark of the modern USMNT. It likely requires a victory over Spain, who has struggled to create great chances, but hasn’t yet conceded a goal. It is possible the USMNT can reach the Semis, but this is where it becomes wishful thinking.

The most sound USMNT predictions have them in the Quarterfinals and falling to one of Spain, Portugal, or Croatia. You could get much better pre-tournament odds on the US, as it has gone from +1800 to +1200 to make the Final and +4000 to +2500 to win the WC.

Our soccer expert has also broken down the Mexico World Cup Odds and Canada World Cup odds for anyone looking go deep into this summer's tournament.

USMNT Roster Odds and Prices

No USMNT player has won an award at a WC since 2002. At Japan/South Korea 2002, USMNT legend Landon Donovan won the FIFA Young Player Award. Below, we’ll review the odds and see if any USMNT player has a decent shot to win an individual award this time around.

In the USMNT’s first match, a 4-1 win over Paraguay, Folarin Balogun scored twice, making a statement in the Golden Boot race. Since then, Balogun has failed to get back on the scoresheet, and Lionel Messi has scored six goals of his own.

Balogun is currently at +10000 odds to win the Golden Boot, and his chances to win are limited on a USMNT team which may only end up playing a couple more games.

All previous Golden Ball winners have played in the Semifinals, so Balogun’s +9900 odds to be named the tournament’s best player are far-fetched as well.

Villarreal defender Alex Freeman is the only player 21 or younger on the USMNT. That makes him the only player eligible for the FIFA Young Player Award, and he’s made some headway toward being considered.

Freeman had a goal and assist in two Group Stage starts and was a key player. He’s gone from being unlisted pre-tournament to +2000 futures odds. Freeman’s undoubtedly got a chance if the USMNT can reach the Quarters.

Meanwhile, USMNT star winger Christian Pulisic, who was dealing with an injury, shows +5000 odds to have the most assists at the competition. That already puts him three behind Brazil’s Bruno Guimaraes, which is a mountain to climb.

With one goal conceded in two appearances, the USMNT futures have keeper Matt Freese at +4900 to win the Golden Glove. This is another long shot, as six of the last seven keepers to win the award played in the Final.

USMNT World Cup Game Lines

The USMNT faced Paraguay, Australia, and Turkiye in the Group Stage, putting together a 2-1 record. Now, the USMNT takes on Bosnia and Herzegovina in Santa Clara on Wednesday night and would meet either Belgium or Senegal in the Round of 16 if it wins.

While there’s not great value on the USMNT to beat Bosnia (-275), fans should be encouraged by the confidence the oddsmakers have in the team. Mauricio Pochettino’s men didn’t have odds shorter than -145 to win any of their Group Stage matches.

Given that the USMNT dismantled both Paraguay and Australia, there’s been more optimism surrounding the team, even after a 3-2 loss to Turkiye. Betting on the USMNT -1.5 (+110) certainly has better value than the moneyline.

If the USMNT defeats Bosnia, it would match up with either Belgium or Senegal next Monday evening. While the USMNT defeated Senegal 3-2 in a recent friendly, it also fell 5-2 to Belgium in March.

Given Belgium’s recent form and the USMNT’s performance so far, many would fancy the USMNT to advance regardless. Stay tuned for moneyline odds on that match, which could end up having much more value for punters compared to the Bosnia match.

Should the USMNT reach the Quarterfinals, the match would be on July 10th at 3:00pm ET in Los Angeles. The most probable opponents are Spain and Portugal, which would both be difficult matchups for the USMNT. Expect them to be underdogs if they make it this far.

USMNT World Cup History

Mauricio Pochettino and the USMNT are dreaming of reaching the Semifinals of the WC for the first time since 1930. Since then, there’s only been one Quarterfinals appearance, and most recent tournaments have ended in the Round of 16.

“Why not us?” has become a rallying cry for Mauricio Pochettino and the USMNT. Pochettino has encouraged his players to think and dream big, and it appears that most everyone has bought in.

The USMNT believes it can not only make a deep run, but win the tournament. It would be a first if the USMNT even makes the Final. On FOX, Zlatan Ibrahimovic said that the USMNT can win the WC, but it’s going to take going unbeaten for five matches.

With losses to the likes of Portugal, Belgium, and Germany this year, it’s clear the USMNT struggles against top-level opponents. While Belgium would be a beatable opponent in the Round of 16, a potential Quarterfinal matchup against Spain would be tough.

Making the Quarters and falling to Spain would be achievable and respectable.

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