The Indiana Pacers are going to make a final stand at home, and the game odds for Game 6 reflect the Pacers' urgency to win at all costs. Indiana fans don't want to look at OKC's Series Price odds.
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NBA Finals Game 6 Odds: Indiana Pacers at Oklahoma City Thunder (Thursday, June 19, 8:30 PM Eastern Time)
Moneylines
- OKC Thunder.: Moneyline @ -250 with bet365
- Indiana Pacers: Moneyline @ +210 with bet365
Spread
- OKC Thunder (-6.5) (-105) with bet365
Total
- Over (221.5) @ -110 with bet365
- Under (221.5) @ -110 with bet365
NBA Finals Game 6 Tips, Picks and Predictions
This is No Time to Forget Fundamentals
Tyrese Haliburton's calf injury is behind his odds to score points falling before Game 6. If NBA Finals injury reports are anything like first-round Stanley Cup Playoffs injury reports, there's a chance the guard's hopeful chatter about fighting through for another 96:00 is just deception from the Indiana Pacers, and that means there's a chance that Haliburton won't make the contest at all. That's a big bummer if you picked Haliburton's over, or the game's over-total-points line, which is also falling.
The O/U line should be falling from a lower opening line. Las Vegas has gone "by the book" and then some in stubbornly giving top seeds the nod throughout the 2024-25 postseason, and yet it seems that oddsmakers have forgotten one basic fundamental in setting such a healthy point-total line over 220 points for a game that OKC would like to proceed quietly and methodically. It's the OKC fast break, not Indiana's, threatening to win the series. But if Indiana isn't scoring, OKC is less likely to run.
- NBA Finals Game 6 Pick #1: Under (221.5) Total Points (-110) with bet365
Play Safe and Go to Bed Like a Grandma
The main markets are the "office water cooler" picks of any NBA Finals. The "under" bet in the main game odds for Game 6 has turned into a popular one, given that the Pacers' physically ailing and tired lineup is now on a losing streak against Oklahoma City. But there is an element of chaos threatening those under-total wagers, should Indiana need a desperate comeback at home.
What if the Pacers go crazy trying to get that magic transition game back from Game 1? It would lead to easy buckets for one team or the other, but the buckets would come nevertheless. If the Pacers begin scrambling on defense, it could lead to even more intentional foul calls, and more free throws pouring in for OKC while SGA's starting five gets more rest - a bad pair of acronyms for Indiana. Trash-time finishes are unpredictable from a live-spread and a pregame O/U point of view.
The halftime "under" bet may not be sexy, or even demand that you watch to the end of a potential championship game tonight. But it eliminates the chaos, and allows for an even simpler betting win on a game of OKC playing-out possessions, and Indiana becoming too wounded to get wound-up.
- NBA Finals Game 6 Pick #2: Halftime Under (113) Total Points (-110) with bet365
In Florida's Honor, Ring a Bet Around the Boards
Game 6 is the scenario in which OKC is likely to crash the boards, instead of dropping back in fear of Indiana's fast break off a rebound. The Pacers are limping, and the Thunder understand what an offensive rebound and put-back can do to the morale of a frantic home crowd in Indianapolis.
Someone from OKC is going to go into double-digit rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the main candidate.
- NBA Finals Game 6 Pick #3: Chet Holmgren Over (9.5) Rebounds (+115) with bet365
NBA Finals Game 6 Preview:
It would not be out of character for Las Vegas to rate Indiana on the Pacers' complete desperation for a home-court win in Game 6 of the NBA Finals. Desperate teams have had points taken away from their spreads this postseason on many occasions. Handicappers are finally rejecting the urge to give the #1 seed a gigantic at every turn, giving the OKC Thunder a (-250) moneyline bet to become champions following Game 6 at 8:30 p.m. Eastern Time, a tilt on ABC and ESPN Desportes.
The Pacers’ heartbreaking loss in Game 4 came after a bout of second-half fatigue and poor free-throw shooting. Late in Game 5, it was Indiana's defending that let the scrappy underdogs down. The visiting Pacers had fought back from another double-digit deficit when the Thunder started cooking with the basketball, rebuilding a fourth-quarter lead before coasting 120-109.
Defense is a key to the Oklahoma City handicap as usual. OKC made up for a quiet Monday from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander by shutting down Indiana completely in segments of Game 5 by taking the ball away when the Pacers wanted to force the tempo. A sportsbook's odds do not often reflect the needs of the underdog, but in Game 6, the Pacers could benefit from a high-scoring contest.
Tonight's point-total consensus of O/U (221.5) has the Pacers' plight written all over it. OKC would like to produce a defensive 100-85 victory in Indianapolis if possible, lifting the world championship hardware without a sweat. If Indiana's turnovers persist, it's OKC's fast break that could run a point total "over." OKC's offense has begun to look as silky as Indiana's did when the series first started.
The individual scorer's market on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has finally fallen out of the cosmos at bet365 sportsbook, with a more reasonable O/U number (33.5) points for Game 6. Tyrese Haliburton of Indy isn't getting nearly as much credit with an O/U (14.5) scoring prop bet, though his teammates Pascal Siakam and Obi Toppin are predicted to bucket O/U (20.5) and O/U (10.5) points respectively, stronger sportsbook numbers than one might forecast with the fate of the series going southward.
The Oklahoma City Thunder's odds to win 2025's NBA Finals have reached prodigious (-2200) odds at bet365, while those hoping the Pacers rebound to win 4-3 can garner (+1100) payout from the book.
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