The last four Bundesliga meetings between these sides at the Mewa Arena have ended in ties. Will we see a fifth successive tie on Sunday?
Best bets for Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Under 2.5 goals @ +110 with bet365
- Eintracht Frankfurt +1 (handicap 3-way) @ -165 with bet365
- Match Tie @ +270 with bet365
All odds are courtesy of bet365, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
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Tight, low-scoring contest expected
Both Mainz and Eintracht Frankfurt are missing some of their top scorers this season. Mainz’s attacking midfielder, Nadiem Amiri, has scored ten goals in 20 Bundesliga matches. However, he is currently sidelined due to a heel injury. Consequently, the hosts will be without their most influential goal contributor.
Mainz’s next most prolific scorer, Lee Jae-Sung, has scored just four goals in 24 Bundesliga games. Frankfurt have suffered similar issues lately. Can Uzun has been sidelined through injury, while Jonathan Burkardt has only recently returned to the squad following a long absence.
Four of their last five head-to-head meetings have featured two or fewer goals. We can back under 2.5 goals here at a probability of only 47.62%. Given that Mainz average only 1.15 goals per game - well below the Bundesliga average of 1.73 - this seems like a smart pick.
- Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction 1: Under 2.5 goals @ +110 with bet365
Backing Die Adler to avoid defeat
With Burkardt back in the squad, the visitors will likely expect their output to improve rapidly in the final third. Additionally, they’ve won three of their last five Bundesliga games and ran Bayern Munich close in a 3-2 loss at the Allianz Arena.
Mainz are the favourites to win this match in the betting markets, even though they average just 1.08 points per home game. With this in mind, their status is likely a reflection of Frankfurt’s indifferent away form. They’ve recorded only 1.15 points per away game.
However, Frankfurt have avoided defeat in 69.2% of their 13 away trips so far in 2025/26. Meanwhile, Mainz have won only 23.08% of their home games. Yet, we can back Frankfurt to avoid defeat here in the European Handicap market at a probability of only 57.14%. Therefore, this is the best value bet among our trio of Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt predictions.
- Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction 2: Eintracht Frankfurt +1 (Handicap 3-Way) @ -165 with bet365
Finding value in the tie
Eintracht Frankfurt’s last three visits to the Mewa Arena have ended in 1-1 ties. In fact, their previous four Bundesliga encounters in Mainz have ended level. Looking further back to 2017, six of their last eight meetings in Mainz have resulted in a tie.
However, we can back the tie on Sunday afternoon at a probability of only 28.57%. Based on the Bundesliga table, Frankfurt may need a win to keep their Conference League ambitions alive. They are now seven points behind sixth-placed Leverkusen, with just eight matches remaining.
Conversely, Mainz are currently only three points and three places clear of the relegation playoff spot. Every point is crucial in their battle to avoid the drop. Urs Fischer's side would likely be satisfied with a fifth consecutive home tie against Frankfurt.
- Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction 3: Match Tied @ +270 with bet365
Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction: Mainz 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- Goalscorers prediction: Mainz: Lee – Eintracht Frankfurt: Kalimuendo
FSV Mainz 05 return to the Mewa Arena this weekend to face seventh-placed Eintracht Frankfurt. They aim to secure just their fourth home victory of the season.
The winter period was difficult for Mainz, as they failed to win a single Bundesliga match between 21 September and 12 January. However, they have improved recently, earning 18 points from their previous 10 league outings to move out of the relegation zone.
Urs Fischer's men currently have 18 fewer points than they did at this point last season. Their poor home form and goal return have caused significant problems in 2025/26. They’ve failed to score in almost 38% of their home games, twice the league average for home teams. They’ve also fallen behind in 54% of their home matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt sit in seventh place, primarily due to their strong form at home. They average 1.77 points per home game, compared to only 1.15 points per game away from the Deutsche Bank Park.
The visitors have not won on the road since 22 November, when they came out on top of a seven-goal thriller at FC Koln. They still average two goals scored per away game, which is well above the league average for away teams (1.41). They have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of their away matches. However, they face the joint-fifth lowest scorers in the division this Sunday.
Probable lineups for Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz expected lineup: Batz, Costa, Kohr, Posch, Mwene, Widmer, Lee, Sano, Nebel, Tietz, Becker
Eintracht Frankfurt expected lineup: Zetterer; Baum, Brown, Amenda, Collins, Chaibi, Doan, Larsson, Bahoya, Echghouyab, Kalimuendo