PSG vs Real Madrid Bonus Bet Offer: Get $150 from bet365

Paris Saint-Germain finally encountered more resistance against Bayern in 2025's Club World Cup quarter-finals. Will the semi-final round finally bring an opponent that conquers PSG, in the form of Real Madrid from the superior Spanish league? Or will Real become another notch on PSG's belt?

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3. Make a deposit of $10 or more for either offer
4. the bet-and-get bonus bet needs at least a $5 bet to qualify.
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7. Bonus funds are available for seven days and cannot be withdrawn for real cash

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PSG vs Real Madrid Semi-Final Odds: (Wednesday, July 9, 3:00 PM Eastern Time)

Moneyline:

• PSG: Moneyline @ +135 with bet365
• Real Madrid: Moneyline @ +187 with bet365

Spread:

• PSG (-1) @ +333 with bet365
• Real Madrid (+1) @ -175 with bet365

Total:

Over 2.5 Total Goals @ -188 with bet365

Under 2.5 Total Goals @ +140 with bet365

PSG vs Real Madrid Tips, Picks and Predictions

Beat the House on the Cat-and-Mouse

There's solid logic behind the rising "over" markets on total goals in the PSG versus Real Madrid semi-final. However the top-ranked teams of the Club World Cup have improved their form in the playoff rounds, the quality of defending in this summer's event is still a notch below that of the Champions League. At some point, the great strikers like Ousmane Dembélé are poised to feast. Midfielders made heroic plays to stop Harry Kane (and nearly) Dembélé, in the quarter-finals.

Balancing half-time O/U odds to go with the boosted game-odds total is too reflexive, however, and it shows that bookmakers might be one step, or one round, behind the curve in scouting the Club World Cup's tactics. As the Parisians mimic their spring surge by pressing more and more without the ball, opposing coaches are reviewing more film on the wild strategy which embarrassed Inter Milan. The Bavarians already began to "break the press" of PSG in the Q-Finals, getting Kane into space on counters after the Parisians got too forward without clean possession.

Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid can produce a hat trick against any team that leaves its flanks open. PSG knows that, making it more likely that manager Luis Enrique's club will retreat after giving up possession in today's match. It could lead to a cautious start as PSG tries to limit gaps in the formation, followed by a roaring second half as soon as either team pierces a keeper.

• PSG vs Real Madrid Pick #1: Halftime Under 1.5 Total Goals @ -175 with bet365

When Sportsbooks Overlook a Scoring Leader

Any kind of imbalanced odds on an evenly-matched (and potentially weather-delayed) playoff round are begging to be taken advantage of. But the bet365 market on Real-to-advance remains chintzy at close to an "Ev" handicap. Mbappé's plus-odds to score look tempting to those who have seen Los Blancos' top striker tear apart great back-line units of the EFL. Nevertheless, he's as likely to manufacture an easy winner for somebody else with PSG's defenders swarming to Mbappé'.

Gonzalo García's prop betting lines are weighed down after a quiet La Liga campaign as a reserve. The youngster has scored a phenomenal four goals to tie for the tournament lead, and surpass Kane's output in the process. There's no reason Garcia's line to score should be as paltry as (+210) bet365 sportsbook odds. His generous (+240) line to tally two-plus shots on target could also pay off.

• PSG vs Real Madrid Pick #2: Gonzalo García to Score One or More Goals @ +210 with bet365

This Line's Handicapping is Not So Special

The sportsbook hedges toward Real Madrid's underdog chances with tight "Specials" odds on teams winning either half. Paris Saint-Germain's (-163) and Real Madrid's (-120) may not be far enough apart, not because Real is the contest's true underdog, but because of how each brand's offense has operated thus far. PSG produced goals 10 minutes apart against Atletico Madrid, all four tallies against Miami in one half, and two in rapid-time in the late stages with Bayern. Real hasn't boasted as much sudden momentum against strong teams in the Club World Cup, unless you count Los Blancos' surprise injury-time goal against Red Bull Salzburg.

The Q-Final bookings of Paris defenders Lucas Hernández and Willian Pacho won't impact PSG's attacks, but the team's compensatory lineup and tactical changes may make it even more likely that the Parisians' best quality will come all at once against the steady, smart hopefuls from La Liga.

• PSG vs Real Madrid Pick #3: PSG to Win Either Half @ -163 with bet365

Club World Cup Semi-Final Preview: Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid

Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid are set to kick off at 3 p.m. EST in the Club World Cup semis, the most critical competition to be found at MetLife Stadium in a summer that's about to be graced by NFL preseason games. It will be interesting to see which American cable networks wind up simulcasting a show that began with DAZN listed as the only TV option, given just how world-renowned each hopeful is. If nothing else, they should do it for the gamblers.

PSG carries its "worst" moneyline odds of recent months into the midweek semi-final, still favored over Los Blancos at (+130) odds, but the betting action is as balanced as for any Parisians contest you could name. While PSG was mounting its impressive win against Bayern in the quarters, Real was preparing to out-gun a Dortmund side that finally showed vital signs in a 3-2 triumph for La Liga. Today represents bet365's least expensive moneyline on PSG since the middle of spring 2025.

Paris is putting on its press again, a reason why O/U odds won't be generous on the high side for a matchup of Kylian Mbappé of Real against his counterpart striker Ousmane Dembélé. PSG played with forward numbers with and without the football in the quarter-finals, prompting thrilling counter attempts from Bayern that just missed the mark. The winning team's continued aggressiveness led to a pair of red-card bookings for PSG backs in injury time.

Still, those goal-total odds for Paris Saint-Germain versus Real Madrid opened at O/U (2.5), a typical, even cautious number. It could be mistaken to think the 2-0 PSG-Bayern score is more representative of the Club World Cup playoffs than Real Madrid's 3-2 victory over Dortmund. PSG's ball-thieving system getting cranked up again could be illustrative of another trend about to hit the CWC.

Since that O/U line arrived, it's risen with "over" betting action at bet365 and other sportsbooks, as gamers come to the above conclusion. However, they might be counting on New Jersey's storms to at least leven the heat that many CWC rounds have taken place in. If the weather is simply muggy, exhausted teams might be too satisfied with an added-time deadlock to help those bettors out.

Europe's soccer managers are sneaky people. They put their top stars on the pitch to begin the Club World Cup, under pressure from supporters and organizers. But they went with second-choice lineups in midfield, and utilized plain-vanilla tactics, much like those NFL preseason teams in New Jersey. It wasn't the look of Champions League lineups in early domestic tournament rounds, but it was a comparable method of keeping players from collapsing on the pitch after a grueling spring.

By now, the top teams' role players are ready to rock. Real received an early goal from left-back Fran García in the quarter-final, a footballer who didn't score once in 31 La Liga appearances this cycle. PSG's backs made wonderful plays to stop Bayern's attacks in space in their own quarter-final.

Hump Day's race isn't for the moneyline betting action, it's between Mbappé of Los Blancos and Dembélé of the Parisians for shortest prop betting odds to score at least once in the semi-final. At press time, neither man is breaking the (+120) mark. Vini Jr. could be an inflated goal-scoring proposition at just (+200) odds, but there's a cheaper pick with more goals on the ledger.

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