Premier League Winner Odds: Betting Preview for the 2026/27 Season

Arsenal were deserving Premier League champions in the end. There’s plenty of change happening elsewhere. They’re well placed to retain the title.

All odds are courtesy of US Sportsbooks, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

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Latest EPL odds & Market movers

• Arsenal are very stable at the moment and should be even stronger come next season with new additions.
• It’s going to be interesting for Manchester City as they start their life without Pep Guardiola.
• Liverpool desperately need to improve on their 2025/26 showing. They have the quality to do so. 
• Michael Carrick is now the full-time manager of Manchester United.
• Another summer of change awaits Chelsea, who have appointed Xabi Alonso as manager. 

Team-by-team analysis: Top contenders for the English Premier League

1. Arsenal

Mikel Arteta has turned Arsenal into a well-drilled machine this season. They finished the season strongly to lift the title. A Champions League win could also await them as they try to make 2025/26 one of their greatest-ever campaigns. The Gunners are expected to retain their core squad this summer, which should only strengthen them further. 

• Current odds: +150
• Key argument FOR: They’re the most stable of the challengers, with no new manager or key player departures.
• Key argument AGAINST: They will now be the team everyone is chasing, which naturally brings added pressure.
• Our opinion: We’re backing Arteta’s men to win the Premier League again if they can make the right additions.

2. Manchester City

The post-Pep Guardiola era is now underway at Manchester City after a decade of incredible success. Enzo Maresca is tipped to take over. He is to pick up where the Spaniard left off at the Etihad. Still, they might need time to find their feet under a new manager.

• Current odds: +300
• Key argument FOR: City still have an incredibly strong group of players. 
• Key argument AGAINST: There are question marks over how they’ll adapt to a new man in charge.
• Our opinion: Maresca is no Guardiola, but City should still be in the mix — even if they fall short of winning it.

3. Liverpool

The previous campaign was one to forget for Liverpool after a poor defence of their title. Arne Slot and his side had a tough time of things and were also unlucky with injuries. With the likes of Mo Salah and Andrew Robertson gone, there’s a changing of the guard at Anfield.

• Current odds: +650
• Key argument FOR: The summer gives the Reds a chance to get key players fit again and bolster an already solid squad.
• Key argument AGAINST: Pressure is already building on Slot. A poor start could quickly raise serious questions.
• Our opinion: We can see the Merseysiders posing more of a threat in the upcoming campaign, but we don’t see them reclaiming the title.

4. Manchester United

Michael Carrick has certainly earned his shot at being the permanent manager of Manchester United. He hopes the Red Devils can continue their impressive form since he took over midway through last season. However, they are likely to need major signings if they are to mount a genuine title challenge.

• Current odds: +650
• Key argument FOR: Over the last 10 games of last season, nobody picked up more points than United. They’ve got a solid platform to build on.
• Key argument AGAINST: Their squad still lack the depth of the main title contenders.
• Our opinion: Much will depend on their transfer activity, but as things stand, they are not expected to win the title.

5. Chelsea

Chelsea have been in disarray for a while now. Another summer of change awaits. Xabi Alonso is to get to grips with his new players, and plenty of fresh arrivals are expected. It’s hard to see the Blues getting enough done in time to challenge for the 2026/27 crown.

• Current odds: +1100
• Key argument FOR: Alonso is likely to be backed in the transfer market. The Londoners do have a lot of quality in their ranks.
• Key argument AGAINST: The Spaniard faces a major task in fixing what went wrong in the previous season, and it will take time to put things right.
• Our opinion: We fully expect the men from Stamford Bridge to improve, just not enough to climb to the Premier League summit.

Our prediction for the 2025–26 EPL

Arsenal are still priced at 2.50 as the bookies’ favourites, and that is no surprise given their efforts in the 2025/26 campaign. Mikel Arteta wants them to improve even further, which means scoring more goals. The Gunners couldn’t have done much more defensively, but they want to avoid so many close calls next season.

Arteta’s side had the best defence and lowest xGA (0.94 per game) last time out. They hope to see that continue and remain a big threat from set pieces. If they add more attacking quality in the coming months, they’ll be extremely difficult to stop. 

There has been no change in the odds for a Manchester City victory. The Cityzens are still at 3.50 to clinch the title. With Pep Guardiola leaving, however, there are expected to be some drastic changes at the Etihad. Filling the shoes of one of the greatest managers ever will be a huge challenge.

Despite having enough quality players, the team might lack the leadership needed to turn them into title contenders. Enzo Maresca, or whoever ends up in charge, may not be able to keep up the standards set by the former boss. They scored 77 goals last season, finishing as the Premier League’s top scorers. With Erling Haaland leading the line, they cannot be ruled out.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have drifted out to 6.50 in the outright market. Their latest Premier League outing extended their concerning run of form. A final-day draw with Brentford only served to intensify the scrutiny around Arne Slot’s tenure. Questions are now being raised over his overall impact, as well as the club’s decision to move towards a possible contract extension.

There’s no doubt the Reds have a talented squad, but uncertainty around them is growing. Mo Salah and Andrew Robertson are among those departing, and a big summer lies ahead for the Merseysiders. A strong start to the new season will be essential to ease pressure on the manager.

As for Manchester United, their odds shortened from 8.00 to a solid 7.00 after a dominant display against Brighton and Hove Albion. The Seagulls urgently needed a win as they pushed to secure a Europa League spot, but the third-placed Red Devils still prevailed. Considering United wouldn’t have moved regardless of the result, it was another impressive day for them.

There is still plenty of work to do to become genuine title challengers, but things look promising under Michael Carrick. They are expected to be in the early race, but squad depth remains a concern. Their chances could improve if they invest wisely in the transfer market.

Finally, Chelsea remain at 11.00 to win the league. A rebuild is expected at Stamford Bridge, and we are yet to see how they will organise for the upcoming season. Xabi Alonso has a big job on his hands as he aims to solve the many problems in the squad.

Despite some success early in the season, the Blues eventually finished 10th after a horrible end to the campaign. It left them without Europe in the season ahead, which has come as a huge disappointment for a team of their stature. Their focus on the domestic league could see them compete for a top-four spot, but fighting for the title seems unlikely.

How to read Premier League winner odds

If you are new to sports betting, looking at Premier League winner odds can feel like trying to solve a complex puzzle. This section breaks down everything you need to know about betting on the Premier League outright market, how odds formats work, and when to place your wagers.

1. What are outright / futures odds?

When you look at Premier League winner odds, you are looking at an outright market.

• Definition: Outright bets involve wagering on the overall winner of the league after all 38 matches have been played, rather than the result of a single game.
• Timing: You can place an outright bet before the season kicks off in August, or at any point during the season (even now, as we approach the final "run-in" in April or May).
• Duration: Unlike match betting—where your bet is settled in 90 minutes—an outright bet stays active as long as your chosen team is mathematically capable of winning the title. If they lift the trophy in May, your bet wins.

2. How to read the three odds formats

Depending on your sportsbook, odds are displayed in three main ways. They all represent the same potential payout. Let’s use Arsenal (the current favorites) as our example.

• Decimal (1.15) — Popular internationally: This represents the total return for every unit wagered, including your stake.
  • Example: If you bet $10 on Arsenal at 1.15, your total return is $11.50 ($1.50 profit + $10 stake).
• Fractional (1/7) — Popular in the UK: This shows your potential profit relative to your stake (Profit / Stake).
  • Example: At 1/7, for every $7 you bet, you win $1 in profit. A $7 bet returns $8 total.
• American / Moneyline (-650) — Popular in the US: A minus sign (-) indicates how much you must bet to make $100 profit.
  • Example: -650 means you must wager $650 to win $100 in profit. (Conversely, a plus sign like +550 for Man City means a $100 bet yields $550 profit).

3. Why do odds change?

The Premier League market is highly volatile and reacts to weekly events:

• Match results: If Arsenal win while Man City drop points, Arsenal's odds will "shorten" (lower payout), while City's will "lengthen" (higher payout).
• The "Run-In" schedule: Odds shift based on fixture difficulty. If a contender has an "easy" remaining schedule on paper, their odds will be lower than a team facing three "Big Six" opponents in a row.
• Injuries & suspensions: If a critical player like Erling Haaland or Martin Ødegaard is sidelined, that team's odds will immediately lengthen.
• Transfer windows: Significant January signings (like a new star striker) can cause a team's title odds to crash mid-season.

5. Early vs. late betting — When should you place your bet?

• Betting early (August/September): This offers the highest potential rewards. In August 2025, you might have found Liverpool at +180; by April, those odds look very different. You get "value" before the season’s narrative is written, but you face the highest risk of injuries or poor form.
• Betting late (April/May): You have more certainty. You know the injury lists, the points gap, and the momentum of each squad. However, the payouts are significantly smaller because the "market" has already figured out who the true contenders are.

Disclaimer: Betting involves financial risk. Please gamble responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please seek help through your local or national responsible gambling organizations.