Man City are appearing in this fixture for the fourth year in a row. They’re aiming to make up for a 1-0 defeat to Crystal Palace in 2025, but this match is expected to be closely contested.
Bet of the Day - Chelsea vs Man City
Odds courtesy of Betfair. Correct at time of publication and subject to change
Under 1.5 goals @ 3/1 with Betfair
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Blues to frustrate City in tense final
Interim manager Calum McFarlane has prioritised improving Chelsea's defence. A defensive tactical approach has produced two closely contested games in the club's three outings since Liam Rosenior departed.
Chelsea secured a 1-0 victory in their FA Cup semi-final against Leeds United. That game produced just 1.23 xG in total. Meanwhile, there was only 1.04 xG in their 1-1 draw at Liverpool last weekend.
It seems clear that Chelsea will aim for another tight match of few chances against Man City. Given that three of the previous five FA Cup finals have ended with 0-0 or 1-0 scorelines, they may get their wish. There is value in backing under 1.5 goals with an implied probability of 25%.
Today's Bet of the Day:Under 1.5 goals @ 3/1 with BetfairBet of the Day Record: Last Five Days
| Tip (Last Five Days) | Win/Loss | Odds |
| Napoli to win & Under 2.5 goals | Loss | 5/2 |
| Real Betis to win & Both teams to score | Win | 23/10 |
| Celtic to win & Both teams to score | Win | 23/10 |
| Bradford vs Bolton - Under 1.5 goals | Win | 3/1 |
| Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Draw | Loss | 11/5 |
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