Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea and Arsenal currently hold the Champions League places but only the Anfield side have built up a bit of breathing space from the chasing pack.
A few of the usual suspects are yet to really get going with just over a quarter of the season gone, while there are several surprise contenders that are well positioned to challenge for a top four finish.
Premier League Top Four Finish Odds
All odds courtesy of Betfred, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Team | Odds |
Liverpool | 1/25 |
Arsenal | 1/10 |
Man City | 1/6 |
Chelsea | 8/11 |
Tottenham | 11/4 |
Newcastle | 9/2 |
All Others | 51 or Greater |
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Liverpool @ 1/25
Arne Slot is enjoying a fantastic debut season as Liverpool boss and the Reds have built up a healthy five-point lead over champions Manchester City at the top of the table.
The Anfield outfit have a nine-point cushion over Nottingham Forest and Brighton in fifth and sixth place respectively, and it would take a significant drop in form for them to miss out on a top four finish.
Arsenal @ 1/10
Arsenal came agonisingly close to ending their wait for another Premier League title last season and they remain well placed to challenge this year, although they are nine points adrift of Liverpool.
The Gunners are winless in four games but have been dealing with a few key injury issues. At full strength, Arsenal are a match for anyone in the division and it would be a shock to see them miss out on a Champions League spot for next season even if they are in the midst of a tough spell.
Manchester City @ 1/6
Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola is officially going through his worst spell as a manager after four defeats inside normal time in a row. Two of those losses have come in the Premier League, leaving them five points behind Liverpool and just four ahead of fifth-placed Forest.
The absence of the injured Ballon d’Or winner Rodri in midfield is clearly having a big impact, but given the quality they possess, this run surely can’t last too much longer and finishing in fifth spot or lower still seems almost unthinkable for City.
Chelsea @ 8/11
Chelsea look rejuvenated under Enzo Maresca and, at 8/11 to finish in the top four, they represent a bit of value among the teams that currently hold those places.
The Blues have only won two of their six home games and if they can improve on results at Stamford Bridge they could be a force this season.
The Other Contenders
Newcastle reached the group stages of Europe’s top competition last season and at 9/2 should be of some interest in the top four market. The Magpies have had a mixed start to the campaign, but back-to-back wins over Arsenal and Forest suggests they are back on track and they’re only a point away from the top four.
Aston Villa have an ongoing Champions League campaign to focus on and fighting on two fronts is a slight disadvantage, but Unai Emery’s men are level on points with Newcastle and, at 5/1, are another value option.
As potential outsiders, Forest are still available at 33/1 and they can’t be written off. The two-time European champions have one of the best defences in the league and a striker in red-hot form in Chris Wood. Admittedly a top four finish may be too big of an ask but European football should be a target for Nuno Espirito Santo’s troops.
How does Top 4 betting work?
Betting on the Premier League top 4 is super easy and simple to understand, as well as being extremely popular among punters, all of whom want to see their teams succeed in the league, with the Champions League places usually being the bar for this.
Teams can finish anywhere between 1st and 4th to qualify for the top 4 finish.
Winning bets, both single or accumulators, will be paid out either on the final day of the season, when the league placings have been finalised. Or will be paid out as a winner when the teams are mathematically confirmed as top 4 finishers.
This means that they cannot on points or goal difference be knocked out of the top 4 by any of the sides below them.
If you have bet on two, three or all four of the top four finishers, then each leg will be confirmed as a win, as these sides are mathematically confirmed, but the whole bet will only be paid out as a winner, when all the legs are satisfied.