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Saudi Arabia vs Mexico: World Cup Group Stage Odds & Best Bets

2:10 AM EST 11/30/22
Lusail Stadium; Lusail Super Cup
With both sides looking for the win in their final group game in Qatar, this should be an open game with plenty of goals

It seemed almost impossible just a couple weeks ago, but Saudi Arabia could finish at the top of Group C with a victory against Mexico and a draw in the match between Poland and Argentina.

The Green Falcons are coming off of a 0-2 loss at the hands of the Poles after a stunning 2-1 victory against Argentina in their first group stage match. They do, however, control their own destiny, and will qualify for the knockout stage with a victory against Mexico.

Mexico have underperformed in this tournament, but still remain alive. They need a win and some help to advance to the knockout stage.

Can Saudi Arabia pull off another upset? Will Mexico score their first goal of the tournament?

Let's dive into current betting odds to uncover the best bets and props for this Group C showdown between Saudi Arabia and Mexico.

Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Current Odds

  • 3-way handicap: Mexico (-145) | Draw (+300) | Saudi Arabia (+360)
  • Draw No Bet: Mexico (-350) |Saudi Arabia (+240)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-135) | Under 2.5 (-110)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-125) | No (-110)

Saudi Arabia vs Mexico odds are current as of Monday, Nov.28, from BetMGM Sportsbook unless otherwise noted.

Despite failing to score a goal in this tournament so far, Mexico is favored to win this match with -145 odds. Oddsmakers are expecting a high-scoring affair with the Over 2.5 goals juiced to -135.

Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Prediction

Saudi Arabia 2-2 Mexico

This is going to be a very open match with both teams going for the win. Saudi Arabia can qualify with a draw, but will need Argentina to beat Poland by a large margin. Since both games are happening simultaneously, they will have to play for the win.

Mexico had four shots on target against Poland, but mustered up only one shot on goal against Argentina. The Saudi Arabia defense is the weakest group they will have faced so far, so they will be on an all-out attack.

Hirving Lozano will need to lead the Mexican attack if they are to move on to the Round of 16, as they will also have to make up for their -2 goal differential.

The Green Falcons will turn to Salem Aldawsari yet again to guide them to the round of 16 for the first time since 1994. They had 64% of the possession against Poland and five shots on goal, but failed to find the back of the net.

With both teams going for the win, I expect a lot of goals scored from both sides.

Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Betting Tips

  • Saudi Arabia has never beaten Mexico, with only one draw in their five meetings.
  • The Green Falcons have only kept one clean sheet in their 18 World Cup matches.
  • Mexico have qualified for the knockout stage in nine straight World Cups
  • Before the tournament started, Saudi Arabia were +650 to advance from the group and Mexico was -115.

Saudi Arabia vs Mexico Best Bets

➕ Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Total Goals (+125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Mexico’s defense has been vulnerable at times, especially on the counter-attack, and that is where Saudi Arabia can take advantage. Mexico will be playing with nothing to lose in this game, so they will throw everything they can to find goals in this match. This makes the Over a great bet.