France vs Poland Predictions: World Cup Round of 16 Best Bets & Odds

Al Thumama Stadium QatarGetty

In a battle between Europeans, France and Poland will meet up in the Round of 16. The group stage of the 2022 FIFA World Cup is officially over, and this knockout stage match will take place on Sunday, Dec. 4, at Al Thumama Stadium in Qatar.


France got off to an excellent start in their group matches with a 4-1 victory over Australia and a 2-1 victory over Denmark. However, they finished off group play with a surprising 1-0 loss to Tunisia.

The 2-1 record through the first portion of the World Cup granted France the top seed in Group D. Kylian Mbappé has, unsurprisingly, been the star of the French national team, scoring three goals through his first three games.

France is one of the best teams still standing in the Round of 16, and Poland is viewed as a longshot to knock them off. In the World Cup, however, a midrange team that boasts a star scorer like Robert Lewandowski can often topple a powerhouse on the right day.

Poland started off with a 0-0 draw against Mexico and a 2-0 win over Saudi Arabia, but The White-Reds finished the group stages with a 2-0 loss to Lionel Messi-led Argentina.

Let’s discuss the current knockout betting odds as we look for best bets and props for this Round of 16 matchup between France and Poland.

France vs Poland Current Odds

  • 3-way handicap: France (-350) | Draw (+450) | Poland (+950)
  • Draw No Bet: France (-1600) | Poland (+750)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-130) | Under 2.5 (-110)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (+145) | No (-210)

France vs Poland odds are current as of Friday, Dec.2, at noon ET from BetMGM Sportsbook.

France is heavily favored to win the match outright in regulation, drawing (-350). Even in the Draw No Bet market, Poland is drawing a longshot (+750) to knock off the French.

Scoring markets are relatively even with a level of expectation from oddsmakers that there will be two or three goals scored in total. In a lopsided matchup like this one, betting on a clean sheet is also an interesting play at (-210).

France vs Poland Prediction

France 2-1 Poland

The French are certainly the better team heading into this matchup with Poland only managing to score two goals through three games. Poland’s defensive effort has been worth noting; they’ve allowed just two goals to Argentina while blanking Mexico and Saudi Arabia.

Still, this is France’s match to lose, and the odds adequately reflect that sentiment. The most important thing to watch with the French, however, is that their offense finds its groove after a lackluster nil showing against Tunisia this past Wednesday. (They likely were simply playing out the string to wait for the Round of 16, of course.)

Mbappé and Olivier Giroud have both scored at least two goals, and their production will need to return if their national squad does not want to be upset.

Poland’s two goals during group stages came from Lewandowski and Piotr Zieliński. Both footballers will need to put forth a similar effort to beat an excellent French national team.

France’s high-octane offense can put together strings of goals with any sort of momentum their way. They have allowed one goal in each of their games, though, and Poland should be capable of putting at least one on the board themselves.

This match can go one of two ways: (1) The French show up at their best and keep the match out of reach for Poland, or (2) it becomes a gritty, hard-fought 1-0 type of match.

France vs Poland Betting Tips

  • France and Poland have not met in the World Cup since 1982, a match that ended in a 3-2 victory for Poland.
  • Across the past seven matchups between the two nations, Poland has not won outright but has drawn with France on four occasions.
  • Across the past three meetings between the two nations dating back to 2000, Poland has not scored, and France has managed just two goals.

France vs Poland Best Bets

➕ Both Teams to Score (+145) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

This wager has plus-odds attached to it for a reason.

Considering Poland’s lackluster offensive effort during group stages, it will be difficult for them to find it against a solid French defense. However, France has allowed exactly one goal to each of their first three opponents in the World Cup.

Poland is capable enough of keeping this trend going.