While West Ham and Leeds are also trying hard to avoid 18th place, this weekend’s result will have a big impact on shaping the relegation battle.
The English top flight is on pause for two weekends. This serves up an opportunity for struggling Spurs, Forest, West Ham and Leeds to regroup.
| Premier League relegation | Odds |
|---|---|
| West Ham | 2.20 |
| Tottenham | 2.50 |
| Nottingham Forest | 5.50 |
| Leeds | 7.00 |
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West Ham
Despite Tottenham’s struggles, it is West Ham who remain the favourites to join Wolves and Burnley in the bottom three. They’ve improved in recent months under the guidance of Nuno Espirito Santo. However, the Hammers remain in 18th place, one point shy of Spurs, with seven games to go.
The betting markets suggest it’s likely to be one of the London clubs that goes down. West Ham are in better form, with only three defeats in their last 10 league games. A 15-point haul over that period suggests they are playing well enough to avoid relegation.
On paper, they have a marginally more favourable run-in than Spurs. However, much will depend on which teams are still fighting for objectives in the final weeks of the campaign.
Either way, home games against Wolves and Leeds are likely to be vital for Nuno’s men. They take on the former at the London Stadium in the next Premier League match to be played. Victory would see West Ham climb out of the relegation zone and pile the pressure on their rivals.
Playing Leeds on the final weekend could also be a major advantage. The Hammers will either be up against a team with nothing left to play for, or one they can still catch. It’s likely to be tight, but they’re showing enough to suggest they are not worth backing for relegation right now.
Tottenham
Igor Tudor’s reign as Tottenham manager started with four straight defeats in all competitions. A disappointing season under Thomas Frank suddenly took on a whole new dimension, as they slipped towards the bottom three.
The Croatian did finally get a response from his players earlier this month. A spirited 1-1 draw against Liverpool was followed by a 3-2 win over Atletico Madrid. However, they failed to deliver when it mattered most, as relegation rivals Nottingham Forest won 3-0 in North London.
That was a more even game than the scoreline suggested. Spurs had more shots, possession and corners. Forest edged the xG count by a margin of 0.09, but results are all that matter at this point.
That loss saw Spurs’ relegation odds slashed. They are now given an implied relegation probability of 42.1%. That’s the highest it has been all season.
Tudor is likely to be dismissed at some point during this international break. A new man may have an opportunity to start afresh, but confidence levels in this group will likely hit rock bottom. Spurs remain winless in the league in 2026, with just three points from their last 11 games.
Injuries have unquestionably contributed to their struggles. The likes of Mohammed Kudus, Ben Davies and Rodrigo Bentancur will soon return. However, those players may need time to reach full match fitness.
Spurs don’t have much time. With three of their next four games away, they seem like the value bet to go down.
Nottingham Forest
Victory at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium was a massive boost to Nottingham Forest’s survival hopes. They are now only given an implied relegation probability of 15.4%. A three-point lead on West Ham in 18th, with a much superior goal difference, gives them some breathing space.
It is only one Premier League win since Vitor Pereira was appointed in the middle of February. However, the Portuguese coach has also guided Forest through two rounds in the Europa League. They are now in serious contention in that competition, which could become a distraction.
The East Midlands side also have arguably the toughest remaining schedule of the four teams battling to avoid 18th place. While four of their final seven games are at home, it’s not an easy run-in. They’ll need to make their clash with Burnley count in April.
Even that fixture is by no means a guaranteed three points for the team with the league’s second-worst goalscoring record. Forest average only 1.00 goals per game and have already been involved in three home 0-0 draws in 2026.
Aside from Tottenham, Forest are the value bet of the four clubs in the thick of the relegation battle. A return of three goals from 30 Premier League matches suggests they cannot rely on striker Igor Jesus to fire them to safety. It could still be a nervy end to the campaign at the City Ground.
Leeds
With one more point than Nottingham Forest, Leeds are currently four clear of the relegation zone. Things could still turn against them if the other sides find form. However, it’s highly likely that at least one of the three teams immediately below them will fail to reach 40 points.
They still have to host the bottom two at Elland Road. With Wolves and Burnley no longer seriously fighting for survival, they’ll back themselves to win those matches. That would push Daniel Farke’s team onto 39 points.
Goals have dried up for striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has scored only once in his last 10 appearances. Still, Leeds are keeping it tight defensively. They’ve not conceded more than once in any of their last seven matches in all competitions.
The Whites are grinding out draws and have suffered just two defeats in nine overall, with an FA Cup run ongoing. They rank 11th in the Premier League, with 44.5 xPTS (expected points). All the signs suggest they will have enough to survive.