Our betting expert expects Roma to pile further pressure on Manchester United by handing them another Champions League defeat.
Best Predictions for Manchester United vs Roma
- First team to score - Roma @ -108 with BetMGM
- Anytime goalscorer - Donyell Malen @ +112 with BetMGM
- Moneyline - Roma @ +147 with BetMGM
All odds are courtesy of US Sportsbooks, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
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Roma to score first against a vulnerable United defense
Manchester United has been struggling all season, especially on defense. Lisandro Martinez’s red card against Chelsea was another prime example of how poor they can be. Carrick’s men have become accustomed to conceding the opening goal in competitive outings this season.
United recorded a shutout against weaker opposition in Sabah. However, they seemed to have struggled against better opponents. The Red Devils conceded the first goal in each of their last two UCL games. They were already 1-0 down against Atleti in the opening minute. In their most recent outing, Como scored the opener just two minutes into the game.
For context, the hosts have conceded the first goal in 67% of their Premier League games, while that rises to 75% at Old Trafford this term. Meanwhile, Roma has scored the first goal in every league phase game this season, including against Real Madrid. Consequently, it may be worth getting behind the visitors to strike first.
- Manchester United vs Roma Bet 1: First team to score - Roma @ -108 with BetMGM
Malen backed to continue his scoring run against United
If there’s one man United’s defense should be wary of, it’s Donyell Malen. The Dutch forward has been in prolific form since joining Serie A. He scored the third goal in Roma’s rout of Udinese at the weekend.
In that game, Malen scored once but missed two big chances. He took five shots, more than any player on the field, and he had the most touches in the opposition box, with eight. Malen has scored three goals in as many UCL games this season, but he’s also been incredible domestically.
The forward struck eight goals in nine Serie A games, bringing his recent tally to five goals and two assists across his last five club appearances. With his confidence high and United struggling to record shutouts, Malen will be confident of making an impact. As a result, Malen is the man to back for the scoresheet on Tuesday night.
- Manchester United vs Roma Bet 2: Anytime goalscorer - Donyell Malen @ +112 with BetMGM
No better chance to beat United
Roma has suffered against Manchester United in the past, having failed to record a single win at Old Trafford in its last four attempts. Additionally, Gasperini’s charges have never beaten English opposition in the Champions League proper in 10 attempts. However, based on where United is at the moment, this is the best time to play them.
United’s nine-game winless run includes six defeats, three of which came consecutively ahead of this clash. The reality is that this isn’t the same United team that once won this fixture 7-1 in 2007, a game in which Carrick scored twice.
The Giallorossi won the most recent head-to-head 3-2 in the 2021 Europa League semi-finals, although that was at the Stadio Olimpico.
Roma is on a five-game unbeaten run and has won back-to-back games before this trip to Manchester. Backing the travelling party to leave England with three points seems like a logical choice, especially considering their incredible value.
- Manchester United vs Roma Bet 3: Moneyline - Roma @ +147 with BetMGM
Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction: Manchester United 1-2 Roma
- Goalscorers prediction: Manchester United: Bruno Fernandes - Roma: Donyell Malen, Matias Soule
Michael Carrick’s future as the Manchester United manager is hanging by a thread after his side lost 2-0 to Chelsea over the weekend. The result extended the Red Devils’ winless run to nine games, their worst run since 1988. United is 17th in the Premier League and only avoids the relegation zone because of a slightly superior goal difference to Crystal Palace.
Carrick hopes the switch to continental soccer can help breathe life into the club. After starting positively on Saturday, they ultimately collapsed, allowing all three points to slip away. United sits 20th in the Champions League standings ahead of Matchday 4, having suffered consecutive defeats since beating Sabah on the opening day.
Domestically, Roma has been the surprise of the season in Serie A, as it’s kept in touch with the top two in the division. Roma strengthened its position near the top of Serie A with a convincing 5-2 win away to Udinese on Saturday. This has left them one point behind Inter Milan and four adrift of Lazio. Gian Piero Gasperini’s men need to duplicate their league form in this competition if they’re to qualify for the next round.
The Italian side is 15th ahead of the round, one point above their hosts. Roma has experienced all three possible outcomes in the Champions League this term, but they know this is the best time to travel to Old Trafford. A win here would be an ideal way to mark the halfway point of the league phase in this competition. It would also give them renewed confidence ahead of their final four games.
Probable lineups for Manchester United vs Roma
Manchester United expected lineup: Lammens, Dalot, Maguire, Martinez, Mazraoui, Tielemans, Santos, Diallo, Fernandes, Cunha, Mbeumo
Roma expected lineup: Gollini, Ghilardi, Ndicka, Hermoso, Molina, de Roon, Pisilli, Franca, Soule, Pellegrini, Malen