Our betting expert shares his Valencia vs Real Madrid predictions. Real Madrid is likely to add more misery to Valencia’s relegation fight.
Best Predictions for Valencia vs Real Madrid
- Three-way handicap - Real Madrid Moneyline with a -1 handicap @ -130 with BetMGM
- BTTS - No @ -104 with BetMGM
- Anytime goalscorer - Jude Bellingham @ +215 with BetMGM
All odds are courtesy of US Sportsbooks, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
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Real Madrid to build on Clasico win
Although Valencia recorded its first win for Aguirre last week, facing Real Madrid is a different challenge. The Bats are winless at home in La Liga this season, having lost four of their six matches. Since the start of the league campaign, Los Che have won just two matches in 11 and lost six in that run.
Meanwhile, Madrid is still buzzing from that Clasico win at the Camp Nou, evident in its thrilling 3-2 win at AEK Athens on Wednesday. Los Blancos are on a seven-game winning streak and are not showing signs of slowing down. While they’ve lost two of their six road trips in La Liga, those four wins suggest they can get over the line here.
Real did the double over Valencia last season, part of a run that saw it win four out of the last six head-to-heads. The visitors have also seen more than two goals scored in each of their last four away matches. As a result, Real could win this game with a handicap.
- Valencia vs Real Madrid Bet 1: Three-way handicap - Real Madrid Moneyline with a -1 handicap @ -130 with BetMGM
Real Madrid’s attack meets Valencia’s home struggles
Mourinho’s men are expectedly one of the top scorers in La Liga, having netted 28 goals in 11 matches. They average 2.55 goals per game, while conceding 10 goals in total at an average of 0.91 goals per game. After recording a shutout last weekend, Los Blancos hope to shut out the opposition once again here.
The home side has simply struggled for form at home. Aguirre’s men have scored just three goals across their six games at the Estadio de Mestalla at an average of 0.5 goals per game. The Bats have failed to score in 67% of their La Liga games in front of their fans.
The Bats failed to find the net in either meeting with Madrid last term. Both teams have scored in just 33% of the home side’s games at this venue this season. As a result, it’s worth backing only one team to score on Saturday.
- Valencia vs Real Madrid Bet 2: BTTS - No @ -104 with BetMGM
Bellingham could be the man to deliver
Kylian Mbappe is likely to get on the scoresheet. However, that expectation is reflected in his price, so there isn’t much value in getting behind the Frenchman. It’s worth looking elsewhere in the Madrid lineup for a goal in the game.
While Yan Diomande has been performing well lately and made the most of his opportunities, we are opting for another goalscorer. Jude Bellingham found the back of the net last weekend against Racing Santander, which clearly sparked him into action. The Englishman followed that up with the first equalizer against AEK Athens in midweek.
He was on a six-game drought for club and country, but now that he’s scored in back-to-back games, he should be in form. Additionally, Bellingham scored against Valencia in the reverse fixture last season. As a result, it’s worth backing him to put his name on the scoresheet this weekend.
- Valencia vs Real Madrid Bet 3: Anytime goalscorer - Jude Bellingham @ +215 with BetMGM
Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction: Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid
- Goalscorers prediction: Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham
Valencia fans may be growing increasingly concerned, as their team enters Matchday 11 of La Liga in the thick of the relegation zone. Los Che still have every hope of avoiding the drop come the end of the season, but a string of poor results could see them struggle. Last weekend was a positive for the Bats, as they came away from Elche with a 1-0 victory, which took them to nine points.
That was head coach Javier Aguirre’s first win as Valencia boss. He took over from Oscar Sanchez and, effectively, Carlos Corberan in September. Valencia is now only two points from safety, which logically increases the stakes in this game. Ironically, the hosts have not won a single league game in front of their home fans this season.
Real Madrid’s only weakness this season has been on the road, but it hopes to overcome it this weekend. Los Blancos were involved in Champions League action during the week, which took them to Greece. They passed that test quite easily, but another travel date here will put their recovery to the test.
Having won El Clasico recently, Real has cut the gap to Barcelona back to three points. That puts Jose Mourinho’s charges third in the division after last weekend’s win over Racing Santander. They’re a point behind Atletico Madrid, so they need a win to keep the pressure on the two above them.
Probable lineups for Valencia vs Real Madrid
Valencia expected lineup: Dimitrievski, Martinez, Tarrega, Pepelu, Gaya, Maffeo, Rodriguez, Mayol, Rioja, Guerra, Danjuma
Real Madrid expected lineup: Courtois, Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Huijsen, Cucurella, Silva, Tchouameni, Guler, Bellingham, Diomande, Mbappe