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In a battle for Florida bragging rights, #3 Miami (4-0) heads up to Tallahassee to face #18 Florida State (3-1). Miami (-4.5) has already beaten three opponents who were ranked at any point this season and has one of the best defenses in the country.
Miami vs Florida State Predictions - 7:30pm EDT - 10/4
- Tommy Castellanos Anytime TD Scorer @ +130 with bet365
- Over 53.5 Points @ -110 with bet365
- Miami -4.5 @ -110 with bet365
All odds are courtesy of bet365, correct at the time of publishing, and subject to change.
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Miami vs Florida State Odds
- Spread: Miami -4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Miami -190, Florida State (+160)
- Total: O/U 53.5 (-110)
Miami vs Florida State Picks
Tommy Touchdowns - Tommy Castellanos Anytime TD Scorer (+130)
Florida State quarterback Tommy Castellanos has proven to be proficient with his legs so far this season. He has averaged 54.3 rushing yards per game on 5.3 yards per carry this season. Castellanos has also scored rushing TDs in three of Florida State’s four games.
His best rushing performances have come in FSU’s most competitive games of the season. He ran for 78 yards and a score in the 46-38 loss against UVA last Saturday and also managed 78 yards and a score in the season-opening win against Alabama.
Expect a fair few plays to break down against Miami’s dominant defense, meaning Castellanos will be scrambling quite a bit. He should manage a rushing score for a fourth time in five games this season. Bet on him as an anytime TD scorer at +130 odds.
- Miami vs Florida State Prediction 1: Tommy Castellanos Anytime TD Scorer @ +130 with bet365
Shootout in Tallahassee - Over 53.5 Points (-110)
Florida State enters this game with the best scoring offense in the entire country. The Seminoles have put up 53 points per game and have scored at least 31 points in all of their games. Meanwhile, Miami has put up 36.8 PPG.
The Hurricanes put up 49 against a South Florida defense that has allowed just 37 points in its three other games this season combined. Miami QB Carson Beck is also a Heisman candidate who has already thrown seven touchdown passes this season.
Sure, Miami has allowed just 11.5 points per game this season, but Florida State’s offense is more dynamic than any other the Hurricanes have seen this season. Expect a shootout in Tallahassee and bet on over 53.5 points at -110 odds.
- Miami vs Florida State Prediction 2: Over 53.5 Points @ -110 with bet365
Canes to Cover - Miami -4.5 (-110)
Florida State leads the nation in rushing yards per game, but Miami can neutralize its running game. The Hurricanes have allowed just 2.6 yards per rushing attempt this season and held Notre Dame to 91 rushing yards in a 27-24 Week 1 win.
Miami also has one of the best offensive lines in the country, which should give Carson Beck plenty of time to find receivers like C.J. Daniels and Malachi Toney. Plus, Florida State looked vulnerable last weekend as the Seminoles allowed Virginia to score 46 points.
Last season, Miami won this game 36-14. While it should be closer and higher-scoring this time around, the Hurricanes should still cover the spread. Go with Miami -4.5.
- Miami vs Florida State Prediction 3: Miami -4.5 @ -110 with bet365
Miami vs Florida State Start Time
- Start Time: 7:30pm EDT
- Location: Doak S. Campbell Stadium
- Address: 403 Stadium Dr, Tallahassee, FL 32304
- TV & Streaming: ABC, Fubo