The Hammers won their last visit to Old Trafford in the EPL and have scored first in five of their last seven meetings. Will they secure victory on Thursday?
Best predictions for Manchester United vs West Ham
- Tie or West Ham (Double Chance) @ +162 with bet365
- West Ham (1st Goal) @ +210 with bet365
- Callum Wilson Anytime goalscorer @ +275 with bet365
All odds are courtesy of bet365, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
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Betting against the Red Devils
United have suffered a concerning 1-0 home loss to Everton, failing to overcome the Toffees’ strong defence. Therefore, a similar scenario is expected on Thursday.
Nuno Espirito Santo has a similar management style to David Moyes. He focuses primarily on structure and defensive strength, giving his attack-minded players a base to play from. The Hammers also won 2-0 at Old Trafford against Ruben Amorim’s side in May.
With United missing two of their most expensive attacking talents, Matheus Cunha and Benjamin Sesko, it’s the ideal time for West Ham to visit. West Ham will be without Lucas Paqueta due to a one-game suspension. Therefore, Luis Guilherme will need to perform well and try to secure a regular starting place.
- Manchester United vs West Ham Prediction 1: Tie or West Ham (Double Chance) @ +162 with bet365
Backing the Hammers to break the deadlock
We’ve already mentioned that the visitors have scored first in five of the last seven meetings between these teams. It’s also worth noting that Manchester United have only netted first in 33% of their home games so far this season.
The betting markets suggest the Hammers have only a 32.26% chance of scoring first on Thursday. Therefore, this is good value based on their head-to-head record and the Red Devils’ slow starts in home games.
West Ham have averaged 1.17 goals scored per away game so far this season, so they should be capable of silencing the Old Trafford faithful. Based on these facts, this is the number-one value bet from our trio of Manchester United vs West Ham predictions.
- Manchester United vs West Ham Prediction 2: West Ham (1st goal) @ +210 with bet365
Value on Wilson to maintain his Indian summer
33-year-old striker Callum Wilson has performed well since returning to fitness at West Ham. The former Newcastle forward has scored in 40% of his ten EPL appearances so far this season.
The betting markets give him a 32.26% chance of finding the net at Old Trafford. This suggests there is a 7% chance he will score if he maintains his recent form.
Wilson currently sits in the 68th percentile for non-penalty goals. Another statistic shows how well he presses the opponent from the front. The veteran is in the 94th percentile for interceptions (0.43 per game).
- Manchester United vs West Ham Prediction 3: Callum Wilson Anytime goalscorer @ +275 with bet365
Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction – Manchester United 1-1 West Ham
- Goalscorers prediction – Manchester United: Mbeumo – West Ham: Wilson
Having secured a morale-boosting 2-1 win at Crystal Palace, Manchester United return to home soil to play against West Ham United on Thursday evening.
Ruben Amorim’s Red Devils needed that victory to recover from the disappointment of losing 1-0 at home to ten-man Everton. United currently sit in seventh place in the EPL table, just four points behind second-placed Manchester City. Their biggest issue is their defence, as they’ve conceded 20 goals in 13 games. This is more than Fulham, who are in 15th place with 17 goals conceded.
United have found West Ham to be difficult opponents in recent seasons. The Hammers scored in their last three meetings. Amorim hopes Joshua Zirkzee continues to score goals, while Sesko is still sidelined with injury.
West Ham have secured seven points from their last four EPL games. Despite their 2-0 home defeat to Liverpool on Sunday, the Hammers have demonstrated more strength recently. Back-to-back home wins over Newcastle and Burnley were followed by a 2-2 tie at AFC Bournemouth.
Before that tie, West Ham had struggled in their away matches. They had lost at Leeds and Arsenal but managed four points from trips to Everton and Nottingham Forest. As Nuno Espirito Santos begins to shape the team, we expect West Ham to become harder to defeat.
Probable lineups for Manchester United vs West Ham
Manchester United expected lineup: Lammens; Shaw, Yoro, de Ligt, Dalot, Diallo, Fernandes, Casemiro, Mount, Mbeumo, Zirkzee
West Ham United expected lineup: Areola; Wan-Bissaka, Diouf, Todibo, Mavropanos, Magassa, Potts, Guilherme, Fernandes, Bowen, Wilson