Atalanta vs Roma Predictions: Bets, Context, and Lineups
Best Bets for Atalanta vs Roma
- Both Teams to Score @ -150 with BetMGM
- Roma exact goals - 1 @ +150 with bet365
- Anytime goalscorer - Charles De Ketelaere @ +187 with bet365
All odds are courtesy of BetMGM & bet365, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Goals Expected at Both Ends
Atalanta’s attack is the second-best in Serie A, behind only Inter Milan, with 71 scored goals. At home, they’ve netted 32 goals at an average of 1.88 goals per game.
Their issue is in defence - they have conceded 20 goals at home, which is an average of 1.18 per match. That gives Roma a chance to find the net, even though they’ve struggled to score this season.
Both teams have scored in the last six head-to-heads at the Gewiss Stadium, which is a good sign for Ranieri’s men.
In fact, both teams have scored in three of the last four clashes at any venue. On top of that, 65% of Atalanta’s home league games this season have ended with the same outcome.
Therefore, it is likely that both teams will score in this match.
- Atalanta vs Roma Betting Tip 1: Both Teams to Score @ -150 with BetMGM
Roma’s Away Struggles
Roma have had a tough time scoring goals on the road. Out of their 50 goals this season, only 16 have come in 17 away matches.
That’s an average of 0.94 goals per game. However, due to the home side’s weak defense, they are likely to score once.
In fact, they’ve scored exactly one goal in 10 of those 17 away games (59%), and they’re currently on a run of nine consecutive away games with just one goal.
Looking back at their recent visits to the Gewiss Stadium, they have scored exactly once in each of their last two trips. However, both ended in defeat.
- Atalanta vs Roma Betting Tip 2: Roma exact goals - 1 @ +150 with bet365
Charles De Ketelaere to Score
Ademola Lookman and Mateo Retegui have scored the most goals in Serie A this term. Together, they account for 54% of La Dea’s goals.
However, Charles De Ketelaere stands out as a strong candidate to score against Roma on Monday. He’s scored seven times in Serie A this season, which is 10% of Atalanta’s total league goals.
He is our preferred pick to score because of the brace he scored in his last match against Monza.
Moreover, he scored two goals in two minutes in last season’s 2-1 win against Roma, helping Atalanta take all three points.
- Atalanta vs Roma Betting Tip 3: Anytime goalscorer - Charles De Ketelaere @ +187 with bet365
Our Analysis: Form of Both Teams
Atalanta overcame a four-game winless streak in Serie A and are unbeaten in their last four, putting themselves firmly in the race for a Champions League spot.
With three games left, they’re third on the table with 68 points and five points ahead of Juventus and Monday night’s opponents, Roma.
Victory in that crucial clash on Monday will all but guarantee their return to the Champions League for the fifth time since 2019.
It may look easy on paper, but Roma are a strong side who have overcome their own challenges from earlier in the season to stay in the race for Europe.
Claudio Ranieri has helped Roma recover and push for a top-four finish after he took over as manager in November.
If the Giallorossi bag three points in Bergamo on Monday night, they will remain in the race for Champions League qualification.
With high stakes for both teams, this promises to be an exciting end-of-season clash.
Probable Lineups for Atalanta vs Roma
Atalanta Expected Lineup: Carnesecchi, Djimsiti, Hien, Kossounou, Bellanova, de Roon, Ederson, Zappacosta, Lookman, De Ketelaere, Retegui
Roma Expected Lineup: Svila, Celik, Mancini, Ndicka, Soule, Cristante, Kone, Pellegrini, Angelino, Shomurodov, Dovbyk