After an unprecedented winter break, the Premier League returns from a month-long hiatus after the World Cup in Qatar.
Arsenal sits on top of the EPL table, five points clear of defending champions Manchester City, while Liverpool struggles to fight back from an early hole (15 points back).
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The big surprise so far — although not to some — is the outstanding play of Eddie Howe’s Newcastle side, who stands at 15-8-6 in third place. The Magpies remain just seven points out of the top position.
Who will outlast the pack and claim the 2023 Premier League title? Let’s look at current betting odds to determine best bets and pick a winner.
English Premier League Winner Odds 2023
Note: All EPL betting odds are current as of Dec. 14 at 9 p.m. ET on BetMGM Sportsbook unless otherwise noted.
- Manchester City (-225)
- Arsenal (+225)
- Liverpool (+3300)
- Newcastle United (+3300)
- Manchester United (+5000)
- Tottenham Hotspur (+5000)
- Chelsea (+20000)
- Brighton & Hove Albion (+40000)
- Brentford (+50000)
- West Ham United (+75000)
- Crystal Palace (+75000)
- Leicester City (+100000)
- Everton (+100000)
- Wolverhampton Wanderers (+100000)
- Leeds United (+100000)
- Aston Villa (+100000)
- Southampton (+100000)
- Fulham (+100000)
- AFC Bournemouth (+200000)
- Nottingham Forest (+500000)
Despite coming out of the break in a five-point deficit, Manchester City is still listed as a moderate favorite by sportsbooks.
The Gunners remain a solid value at (+225), with a clear top-6 at the top. Graham Potter’s Chelsea roster is not among them, sitting at (+20000).
English Premier League Best Bet To Win
Manchester City (-225)
Sitting just five points behind an Arsenal squad riddled with question marks, Manchester City is primed for a second-half surge to the top of the table.
Golden Boot leader Erling Haaland has been nearly unstoppable at times, while teammate Julián Álvarez has shone during the World Cup.
Pep Guardiola’s side is riddled with talent that appears to get stronger by the week as their rapport grows. Kevin De Bruyne has been critical this season, leading the Premier League with nine assists, while John Stones and Rúben Dias top the EPL in successful pass percentage.
Man City is the gold standard right now, and they are a deserving favorite to win yet another Premier League championship.
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English Premier League Contenders To Win
Arsenal (+225)
An injury to striker Gabriel Jesus could spell trouble for the Gunners in the second half of the season. The Brazilian tore his MCL at the World Cup in December and will be forced to miss an extended period of action after undergoing knee surgery.
There is hope that Jesus could return in late February at the earliest but could miss up to three months. In the meantime, Eddie Nketiah will step in as the only natural striker on the Gunners' roster.
Will Arsenal make an addition to their front line during the January transfer window? Or will they install left winger Gabriel Martinelli into a more central attacking role?
The good news for Mikel Arteta is that Oleksandr Zinchenko is fit to return to action after missing time this season with knee, calf, and muscle injuries. In addition, Emile Smith Rowe is set to take the field again after a long-term groin issue.
Do the Gunners have what it takes to outlast Manchester City? It is certainly possible, but with so much up in the air, it is difficult to be confident in that prediction.
Liverpool (+3300)
The Reds continue to be listed among the league favorite despite a very shaky start to their season, leaving them with a steep hill to climb.
Perhaps the winter break is exactly what this side needed to reset their minds and get back to the grind of the Premier League.
Jürgen Klopp’s side is currently seven points back of the top 4 and 15 points off the pace for first. They will need a Herculean effort from their star players to jump back into the title picture.
However, there is some good news. Liverpool, despite their struggles, are second in the Premier League in both time of possession (61.7%) and shots per game (17.1). The opportunities are there, just not the execution.
Newcastle (+3300)
Many, including myself, were expecting big things from Eddie Howe’s Newcastle side this season. However, they are in a stronger position, much faster than many could have predicted.
Coming out of the winter break, the Magpies are within shouting distance of Arsenal at the top of the table, with just seven points separating the two.
Miguel Almirón sits alone in sixth place among the Premier League’s top goal scorers with eight, while Kieran Trippier leads the EPL with five Man of the Match honors.
Newcastle has no shortage of financial flexibility, which makes them very dangerous in the January transfer market. If ownership decides to expedite their timeline, there may be no ceiling for the Magpies in the not-so-distant future.
Tottenham Hotspur (+5000)
Tottenham was one of few Premier League teams to bypass warm weather training during the World Cup break. Spurs currently sit fourth in the EPL table, eight points behind Arsenal.
Team captain Harry Kane was inconsolable after missing a critical penalty shot against France in the World Cup. The striker sent what would have been a game-tying shot over the crossbar above Hugo Lloris, in what Kane admitted would take “some time” to get over.
However, Tottenham will need every bit of Kane's genius to make a run at the Premier League title. In addition, Spurs will look to Son Heung-min to turn in a solid second half after his own World Cup heroics with South Korea.
The dynamic duo is a force on the pitch when on top of their game but were often not in sync earlier this season. In fact, if not for a 13-minute hat trick in late September, Son would be without a goal.
On the other hand, Kane is second in the Premier League with 12 goals, while Dejan Kulusevski is tied for third in the EPL in assists with five. However, Spurs' ability to score was never in question.
The real question surrounding Tottenham is on defense. The London side has conceded 14.5 shots per game this season, the fifth-most in the Premier League. This weakness will likely continue to cost them vital points down the stretch, which should keep them out of title contention.
Manchester United (+5000)
Manchester United sits three points behind Tottenham for fifth place, despite a 10-goal deficit in goal differential. However, after sitting at the bottom of the table early in the season, it’s remarkable how fast the Red Devils have turned things around.
Erik ten Hag’s side is set to start their post-Ronaldo journey, having parted ways with the legendary striker during the winter break. In addition, Jadon Sancho continues to flounder in purgatory amid concerns about his fitness and commitment.
The Red Devils’ EPL fortunes may be tied to their ability to bring in quality players during the January transfer window. Top names such as Álvaro Morata, Gonçalo Ramos, Cody Gakpo, and João Félix have been rumored as possible options.
Manchester United has already made several early season additions to bolster their roster, including Brazilian superstars Casemiro and Anthony. Will they find the right pieces to their puzzle in time to make a run at the title this year?
I doubt it.