Hull haven’t won a league match since August but are hard to beat, with just four defeats in nine on their return to the top flight.
Best bets for Arsenal vs Hull City
- Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score (No) at odds of 1.75 with Stake
- Under 2.5 Goals at odds of 2.60 with Stake
- Declan Rice 1+ Assist at odds of 4.00 with Stake
Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City
- Goalscorers prediction: Arsenal: Havertz, Tzolis
Arsenal welcome newly promoted Hull City to the Emirates this weekend, with the Gunners looking to maintain top spot.
Mikel Arteta’s men have eight wins from nine games, with the defending champions sitting on 24 points. The Gunners’ narrow 1-0 win at Liverpool last Sunday was an important one for them and their first in the league at Anfield for over a decade. They stood up to the test against Andoni Iraola’s men and kept a third consecutive clean sheet.
Arsenal have six clean sheets so far this term, more than any other EPL club. Their xGA figure stands at just 7.2. Kai Havertz leads the way as Arsenal’s leading scorer with three goals. Bukayo Saka (quad) is out until next month, while William Saliba and the suspended Max Dowman miss out.
Hull City sit 11th on 11 points, with five draws in their first nine games. Sergej Jakirovic’s Tigers have a rigid defensive setup that makes them hard to break down. They drew again last weekend, this time against Ipswich Town, ending 2-2 despite them conceding first.
Mohamed Belloumi has impressed in attack but Hull’s mid-table place is built on a fairly solid defence. They also have the third-best clean-sheet record with three this season. Matt Crooks misses the trip to North London after picking up a fifth yellow card against the Tractor Boys.
Probable lineups for Arsenal vs Hull City
Arsenal expected lineup: Raya; Timber, Konsa, Gabriel, Calafiori, Guimaraes, Rice, Odegaard, Madueke, Tzolis, Havertz
Hull City expected lineup: Tzolakis; Coyle, Ajayi, Egan, Mendy, Iroegbunam, Belloumi, Giles, Slater, McBurnie, Stroud
Gunners to add to clean sheet tally
This bet is one way of getting extra value on a home win for the defending champions. Arsenal have kept six clean sheets in nine games, allowing only five goals in the EPL.
Their xGA conceded figure of 7.2 is the lowest in the division. Hull’s xGA tally is the second-lowest in the league (9.1). Arsenal have three consecutive EPL games without conceding, dispatching Liverpool (1-0), Everton (2-0), and Nottingham Forest (1-0).
Hull’s five draws in nine games showcase that they have been tough to beat this season. They’ll try to frustrate the Gunners for as long as possible, but will surely succumb at some stage. We expect a home win and a seventh clean sheet for Arsenal at a 57% implied probability.
- Arsenal vs Hull City Betting Tip 1: Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score (No) at odds of 1.75 with Stake
Expect a low-scoring contest
Arsenal’s first nine games of the 2026-27 EPL season have yielded 19 goals, or 2.11 goals per game. Hull’s matches have delivered 21 goals, so neither side regularly plays in games that breach the over 2.5 goals line.
The hosts concede 0.6 goals per game, which is comfortably the best defensive record in the division. Hull average only 3.4 shots on target per game, the third-lowest in the EPL, not a surprise for a newly promoted outfit.
Both of Hull’s 2-2 draws came on home soil, in matchups against Ipswich and Everton, where they were expected to compete. Two goals or less at a 38% implied probability feels like the value bet from today’s Arsenal vs Hull City predictions.
- Arsenal vs Hull City Betting Tip 2: Under 2.5 Goals at odds of 2.60 with Stake
Rice to hold the midfield for an assist
Arsenal’s Declan Rice has reached a new level of attacking output in the first few months of this season. He already has five assists in nine league games and has created 17 chances and four big chances, both club highs.
Rice sits in the 92nd percentile for chances created among other Premier League midfielders. His expected assists figure of 2.00 is some way below his actual tally of five assists, but some of that is down to the manner of chances he is creating.
Passing and chance creation volume won’t be an issue against the Tigers. Hull’s average possession figure of 31.4% suggests that Arsenal will have a lot of opportunities to make plays in the final third. With Saka sidelined, the onus falls largely on Rice to take set pieces. An assist from him at a 25% implied probability feels low when looking at the data.
- Arsenal vs Hull City Betting Tip 3: Declan Rice 1+ Assist at odds of 4.00 with Stake
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