Man Utd vs Aston Villa Predictions: Prediction: Bets, Context, and Lineups
Best Bets for Man Utd vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa win at odds of 1.73 on Betway
- Both teams to score in the second half at odds of 2.80 on Betway
- Morgan Rogers 1+ assist at odds of 4.50 on Betway
Aston Villa are expected to beat Man Utd 2-1.
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Our Analysis: Form of Both Teams
Aston Villa’s season comes down to this match, as only a win will give them a chance to get into the top five.
This is a game of huge contrast as United have nothing to play for. After their recent Europa League loss, they just want the season to end since it was their last chance to save their season.
Unite could end this campaign as the lowest-ranked side, which would be a new low for them. However, they'll want to sign off on a high note and end their winless league run at Old Trafford.
Meanwhile, Villa’s mission is simple - win and hope for favours elsewhere. Unai Emery’s side are bidding to get into the Champions League for the second season in a row. They’re in good form and have recently beaten Spurs, who are United’s opponents in the Europa League final.
Probable Lineups for Man Utd vs Aston Villa
Man Utd Expected Lineup: Onana, Maguire, Mazraoui, Shaw, Diallo, Ugarte, Casemiro, Dorgu, Mount, Højlund, Fernandes
Aston Villa Expected Lineup: Martinez, Konsa, Disasi, Torres, Digne, Kamara, Onana, McGinn, Asensio, Rogers, Watkins
Villa to Shine Against Winless United
The stakes couldn’t be much higher for Villa, and that could be enough for them to win. Moreover, they've been in good form recently, winning eight of their last nine league games.
Although that defeat did come on the road, they’ve won four of their last five away league outings. Therefore, they play well in away games. Only two sides in the Premier League have won more away games than them this season.
Villa’s recent record against United isn’t great, but this game is very important for them. United are winless in eight in the league, which is their longest winless run in the Premier League era.
Three of their four Old Trafford league wins since November were against the bottom three sides. The other was against Everton, who were struggling at the time. Therefore, they tend to struggle against better sides.
- Man Utd vs Aston Villa Bet 1: Aston Villa to win at odds of 1.73 on Betway
Expect Second-Half Action
With so much at stake in this game, it is likely that Villa will push hard in the closing stages. On top of that, their away games usually involve plenty of second-half action. All but one of their away league games this term saw at least one goal after the break.
In fact, 12 of the last 14 Premier League goals Villa have scored away from home came in the second half. Moreover, they’ve scored twice as many away goals in the second half compared to the first, and conceded almost twice as many.
The same goes for United at home as they have both scored and conceded more after half-time than before it. The Red Devils have scored 38% of their Premier League goals after the 75th minute this term. Meanwhile, Villa have netted 41% of theirs after the 60th minute.
- Man Utd vs Aston Villa Bet 2: Both teams to score in the second half at odds of 2.80 on Betway
Rogers to Spark Villa’s Push for Victory
We expect Unai Emery’s side to attack as much as possible since they must win this game. That opens up a lot of opportunities in the anytime scorer or assist market.
Morgan Rogers is Villa’s main playmaker as he's assisted in his last two Premier League games and helped to create a goal in three of his last five league fixtures. It’s no surprise that he has more Premier League assists than any other Villa player this season (10).
Therefore, given the attacking approach Villa are likely to take, he is at incredibly generous odds.
- Man Utd vs Aston Villa Bet 3: Morgan Rogers 1+ assist at odds of 4.50 on Betway