Our betting expert expects another strong defensive performance from the hosts, who should win the game with Bukayo Saka on target.
Best bets for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid
- Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.85 on Betway
- Bukayo Saka to score anytime at odds of 3.10 on Betway
- Arsenal to win to nil at odds of 2.60 on Betway
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Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction - Arsenal 1-0 Atletico Madrid
- Goalscorers prediction - Arsenal: Bukayo Saka
Arsenal are in excellent form ahead of this game. They’ve won their last five matches in all competitions, with their latest success being a 1-0 Premier League victory at Fulham. The Gunners have gone unbeaten since a 1-0 defeat at Liverpool in August.
They’ve also got a perfect record in the Champions League after beating both Athletic Club and Olympiakos. That gives them a three-point advantage on Atletico Madrid in the standings.
Diego Simeone’s team lost their European opener 3-2 to Liverpool, but dominated Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 on Matchday 2. They won 1-0 at home to Osasuna in La Liga on Saturday to extend their unbeaten run to six matches in all competitions.
Probable lineups for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid
Arsenal expected lineup: Raya, Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori, Rice, Zubimendi, Eze, Saka, Gyokeres, Trossard
Atletico Madrid expected lineup: Oblak, Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Hancko, Simeone, Koke, Barrios, Gallagher, Alvarez, Griezmann
Few goals at the Emirates
Arsenal have once again had an impressive defence so far this term. As a result, six of their last seven matches in all competitions saw two or fewer goals.
However, they have trouble scoring, which may be a slight concern for Mikel Arteta. Striker Viktor Gyokeres is in really poor form, with no goals in his last nine appearances for club and country. They don’t have many alternatives to the Swede, as Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus are still sidelined.
While Atleti have been involved in some high-scoring matches, 55% of their games in all competitions have still ended with two or fewer goals. They are expected to play very defensively, so a goalfest may be unlikely.
- Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Bet 1: Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.85 on Betway
Saka to strike for the Gunners
The main attacking threat from Arsenal is likely to come with Saka on the right flank. The England international appears to be in excellent form, having made a full recovery recently.
Saka has either scored or assisted in four of his five appearances for club and country so far this month. He only failed to find the net in Saturday’s trip to Craven Cottage, when he was arguably the best player on the pitch. Saka touched the ball 74 times in that game and has taken at least two shots in each of his last four Arsenal appearances.
He could be a major threat in this match, as the left-back position is problematic for Atletico Madrid. Simeone has tested Matteo Ruggeri, Javi Galan, and David Hancko for that position this term, but has struggled to settle on the best solution.
- Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Bet 2: Bukayo Saka to score anytime at odds of 3.10 on Betway
Arsenal’s defence to hold firm again
On average, the hosts have conceded just 0.38 goals per game in the English top flight. That is the best record in Europe’s big five leagues. Their total of just 4.7 xG allowed is also the lowest of any team.
Therefore, it’s unsurprising that they are one of the only two teams who are yet to concede a goal in the league phase of the Champions League. This fixture may be tougher than their opening two games, but they’ll back themselves to limit Atletico Madrid to a few opportunities.
Simeone’s team have an average xG of only 1.1 in their away matches across all competitions this term. Although they’ve scored twice, they created just 0.6 xG on their recent trip to England to play Liverpool.
- Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Bet 3: Arsenal to win to nil at odds of 2.60 on Betway