Brighton vs Liverpool Predictions: Bets, Context, and Lineups
Best Bets for Arsenal vs Newcastle
- BTTS - Yes 1.43 with Betway
- Double chance - Liverpool/ Draw 1.49 with Betway
- Winning margin - Liverpool to win by one goal 4.60 with Betway
We predict Liverpool to win 2-1.
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Our Analysis: Form of Both Teams
Brighton’s 2-0 victory against Wolves keeps their chances to qualify for Europe alive. However, bitter rivals, Crystal Palace, could disrupt their plans if they can beat Manchester City in the FA Cup final on Saturday.
Meanwhile, the Seagulls must bag three points against the champions, Liverpool, on Monday to get into continental football next season. They're on a short undefeated run, which could help them take points from the Reds, but it won’t be easy.
Although Arne Slot’s side cruised in last weekend’s match with Arsenal with two early goals before they conceded twice in the second half. As a result, the match ended in a draw with one point.
Points don’t matter to Liverpool now, but players will certainly put up their hands early on for next season. Fabian Hurzeler’s have beaten Liverpool at the Amex Stadium before, so their match will be interesting to watch.
Probable Lineups for Brighton vs Liverpool
Brighton Expected Lineup: Verbruggen, Wieffer, Van Hecke, Webster, Estupinan, Baleba, Ayari, Lamptey, O’Riley, Minteh, Welbeck
Liverpool Expected Lineup: Allison, Bradley, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson, Gravenberch, Jones, Salah, Szoboslai, Gakpo, Diaz
History Suggests the Same Outcome
Liverpool are undoubtedly the most efficient side in the final third across the Premier League as they’ve scored 83 goals in 36 games. They weren’t able to find the net only in their 1-0 home loss to Nottingham Forest back in September last year.
Meanwhile, they have a vulnerable defence, with 22 goals conceded across 18 matches - an average of 1.22 goals per game. Also, 58% of their league games saw goals at both ends.
That will give Brighton confidence, especially since they’ve been decent in attack. They’ve netted 27 times at the Amex Stadium at an average of 1.50 goals per match. Moreover, they’ve scored and conceded across 25 of their 36 Premier League fixtures (69%).
Since five of their last head-to-heads featured goals from both sides, we could see the same outcome on Monday night.
- Brighton vs Liverpool Betting Tip 1: BTTS - Yes 1.43 with Betway
Reds to Edge Seagulls
Before their three-game unbeaten run (W2, D1), Brighton went winless for four league games in a row. Their last victory over the Reds was the start of 2023, while Liverpool walked away victorious from their previous three meetings.
The Seagulls are difficult to beat at the Amex as they’ve lost only three of their 18 games this season. In the last six games at home, they’ve drawn three and lost once (W2). Meanwhile, the Merseysiders have suffered two defeats in their last three away games. They were on a 26-game unbeaten run before their loss to Fulham in April.
With the title secured, Slot may be tempted to give some game time to his younger players, who will be eager to impress. Therefore, we think that the champions may just edge it out in this fixture.
- Brighton vs Liverpool Betting Tip 2: Double chance - Liverpool/ Draw 1.49 with Betway
Fine Margins
We’ve heard that it’s the tiny margins in the Premier League that matter many times before, and that couldn’t be more true for Liverpool this season.
On the road, they’ve won 11 games in total, four by a single goal and four by two goals. Brighton have lost by a one-goal margin three times this season, which is their second most common type of defeat. Moreover, they’ve lost by two goals on four occasions.
The Reds have always found a way past Brighton. They’ve won the last three head-to-heads by one goal. In fact, four out of five previous meetings ended with a one-goal victory margin. This result is likely for their next match.
- Brighton vs Liverpool Betting Tip 3: Winning margin - Liverpool to win by one goal 4.60 with Betway