Group G action in the 2022-2023 Champions League kicks off Tuesday, Sept. 6, at 3 p.m. ET, with Manchester City visiting Sevilla. Their second leg will take place Nov. 2.
Man City, defending Premier League Champions, have teased a competition win in this event each of the past two years, falling to Chelsea in the 2021 final and with a heartbreaking collapse in the 2022 semifinals to eventual winner Real Madrid.
Sevilla FC eked into the fourth spot in La Liga’s 2021-22 table; they lost in the Round of 16 in 2020-21 and failed to advance from the group stage last year.
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Some say Man City lucked into an easy group draw. Can possession-focused Sevilla prove that wrong on the first day of UEFA Champions League group matches?
I’ll examine some recent trends to notch this week’s Sevilla vs Man City best bets for their first Champions League clash in Group G.
This is Tim Heaney’s first 2022-2023 Champions League betting picks article.
EPL Betting Record: 0-2, -3 units
Sevilla vs Manchester City Odds
- 3-Way Handicap: Sevilla (+550) | Draw (+350) | Manchester City (-225)
- Draw No Bet: Sevilla (+400) | Manchester City (-650)
- Over/Under Goals: Over 3.5 (+165) | Under 3.5 (-225)
UCL odds for Sevilla vs Man City’s first leg are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook, current as of Monday, Aug. 29, at noon ET.
Because this marks City’s away leg in this duo, UCL oddsmakers are assigning them marginally less juice as favorites.
Sevilla vs Manchester City Betting Tips
Man City in UCL Group stage? Hammer an Over
The Sky Blues have lit up opponents in the group stage in the Pep Guardiola era, topping them 89-36 (+54 differential), including 13-1 and 18-10, respectively, in the past two years.
A somewhat riskier Man City attack, led by new star forward Erling Haaland, has played somewhat looser up front in this new “True 9” format, so expect the midfielders and forwards to take even more chances and be aggressive in these favorable-on-paper fixtures.
Sevilla stuck in La Liga funk
After allowing a league-low 30 goals in the 2021-22 La Liga season, Sevilla has run into tough luck with a 0-1-2 start in their first three La Liga matches, giving up five tallies already.
The signing of former Real Madrid stalwart Isco has not yet generated much offense. Too bad they likely won’t be able to lock in rumored Barcelona transfer target Miralem Pjanić in time for this UCL fixture.
Sevilla and Man City will be possession war
Sevilla manager Julen Lopetegui emphasizes heavy possession — but in Pep’s MCFC, the Rojiblancos are facing the international masters of that tactic.
Sevilla vs Manchester City Prediction
Sevilla 1-3 Manchester City
Given this packed window of fixtures, Man City likely will look to slot in plenty of substitutions in the second half, so Sevilla could sneak in and pot one late in the contest.
However, expect Haaland and crew to pour it on aggressively in the first half and allow them to take that breather after the break — as No. 9 starts looking ahead to an awaited match with former club Borussia Dortmund.
Sevilla vs Manchester City Best Bets
➕ Over 3.5 Goals (+155) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 2 units
I’ll match my match score pick with the lowest bar to clear. Ederson has looked shaky in his past two matches.
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➕ Multiple Correct Score: 1:2, 1:3 or 1:4 (+230) at BetMGM
WAGER: 1 units
Want to extract a bit more juice in your favor? Connect three scores that let Sevilla tally a goal but still peg MCFC to dominate.
- Hit up this Multiple Correct Score UCL prop at BetMGM.