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Osimhen Sale Lukaku Approval

How will the sale of Osimhen to PSG and the arrival of Lukaku affect Napoli's odds to finish top 4 or win the Scudetto?

This transition could profoundly impact Napoli's ambitions in Serie A, specifically their odds of finishing in the top four or even challenging for the Scudetto.

Victor Osimhen has been a standout performer for Napoli, scoring 76 goals in 136 games over four seasons. His pace, athleticism, and ability to exploit defensive gaps have made him a vital cog in Napoli's attacking machinery.

In Romelu Lukaku, Napoli is not merely acquiring a replacement for the Nigerian striker, but a different type of forward altogether. The Belgian centre-forward, known for his physicality, hold-up play, and link-up abilities, brings a contrasting style to Osimhen.

  1. Last season, Victor Osimhen scored 15 times in 25 league matches for Napoli; Romelu Lukaku has netted 13 goals in 32 Serie A games with Roma.
  2. Romelu Lukaku's best scoring seasons were at Inter Milan, under the management of Antonio Conte, when the Belgian scored 64 goals across two seasons.
  3. In 2023/2024, Napoli finished in 10th position, 41 points behind leader Inter Milan, and 16 points adrift from the 4th spot.
Serie Winner With HandicapOdds

Napoli +15 points

15.00

Serie Winner

Odds

Napoli

5.50

Odds courtesy of Betway. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

New direction under Antonio Conte

Lukaku's best seasons came under Conte's tutelage at Inter Milan, where he scored 47 goals across two Serie A campaigns, showcasing his ability to thrive in Conte's 3-5-2 system.

Lukaku's familiarity with Serie A and Conte's coaching style should facilitate a smoother transition into the Napoli setup.

While Osimhen excelled in exploiting spaces behind defences, Lukaku's strength lies in his ability to involve teammates and orchestrate play around the box. This could potentially transform Napoli's attacking approach, making them less reliant on quick transitions and more adept at breaking down deep-lying defences.

Furthermore, Lukaku's arrival also brings a potential solution to Napoli's penalty-taking duties.

His career record from the spot is impressive (37 out of 43 scored, with clubs and country), and with no standout penalty specialist currently at the club, Lukaku could assume this role, adding another dimension to Napoli's attacking arsenal.

The success of this transition hinges on several factors. Lukaku's form and fitness are crucial; his stint at Roma was marred by injuries and inconsistency, scoring 13 goals in 32 league appearances.

Napoli will need him firing on all cylinders to offset the loss of Osimhen's goals. Moreover, the team must adjust to Lukaku's style, which could take time, potentially affecting their early season form.

There is also the psychological aspect to consider. Osimhen's departure might affect team morale, especially if Napoli struggle initially. The squad will need to rally around Lukaku and Conte's vision to maintain the cohesion and spirit that carried them to success in recent years.

A bold gamble

Osimhen's desire for a new challenge and the lucrative offer from PSG have set the stage for his departure. While losing a player of his calibre is a significant blow, Napoli's decision to cash in on him—potentially for around €100 million—reflects both a financial necessity and a strategic recalibration under new manager Antonio Conte.

With no European competitions to boost their revenues this season, the influx of cash from this transfer is critical for balancing the books and reinvesting in the squad.

Napoli's decision to swap Osimhen for Lukaku is not without risks, but it also presents a set of opportunities.

The departure of the 2022/2023 Serie top goalscorer could initially unsettle the squad, given his importance and the adjustments required to accommodate Lukaku's different playing style.

However, if Lukaku adapts quickly, Napoli might not only maintain their offensive output, but also add a new layer of tactical flexibility.

Conte's previous success with Lukaku at Inter, where they won the Scudetto in 2020-21, suggests that the Belgian can be the focal point around which Napoli can build a title challenge. Conte's emphasis on discipline, structure, and a robust defensive setup, complemented by Lukaku's physical presence, could make Napoli a more resilient and balanced team.

Additionally, Napoli's bolstered defence, thanks to the signing of Alessandro Buongiorno and Leonardo Spinazzola, aligns with Conte's tactical philosophy.

A stronger backline, coupled with Lukaku's ability to hold up play and bring others into the game, could make Napoli more difficult to break down and more effective on the counter-attack.

In the end, this transition could either propel Napoli to a new level, potentially challenging for the Scudetto, or leave them grappling to secure a top-four finish.