Our betting expert expects Liverpool to continue where they left off in the Champions League and beat Newcastle this weekend.
Best bets for Liverpool vs Newcastle
- BTTS - Yes at odds of 1.61 on 1xBet
- 1x2 - Liverpool at odds of 1.79 on 1xBet
- Anytime goalscorer - Hugo Ekitike at odds of 2.04 on 1xBet
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Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction: Liverpool 3-2 Newcastle
- Goalscorers prediction: Liverpool: Hugo Ekitike, Mohamed Salah, Dominic Szoboszlai; Newcastle: Harvey Barnes, Yoanne Wissa
Liverpool have suffered a disappointing Premier League campaign. The champions were largely expected to defend their title or at least be in the race. However, after 23 games, the Reds are 14 points behind the current leaders, Arsenal.
Arne Slot’s men are sixth in the standings ahead of this round, but only two points behind rivals Manchester United. The Dutchman will hope his team can replicate their Champions League form in the domestic campaign. Liverpool beat Qarabag 6-0 on Wednesday night to secure an automatic place in the last 16 of that competition.
However, after losing due to a late goal against Bournemouth last weekend, they will want to avoid a similar situation in this round. Newcastle are always a difficult side to face, so the home team must play at their very best.
The visitors drew 1-1 away to Paris-Saint Germain in midweek, dropping out of the top eight in the Champions League. Out of six English clubs, they’re the only ones that have to face a playoff, as the other clubs finished inside the top eight.
Nonetheless, it’s a positive for Eddie Howe that his side are into the knockout phase of the competition for the first time. Perhaps being in the UCL has affected their domestic form, as they enter the round back in ninth place. However, being only five points behind fifth place means their ambitions for a European spot next season are still achievable.
Probable lineups for Liverpool vs Newcastle
Liverpool expected lineup: Alisson, Frimpong, Gravenberch, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Wirtz, Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Salah, Gakpo, Ekitike
Newcastle expected lineup: Pope, Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall, Miley, Guimaraes, Tonali, Barnes, Gordon, Wissa
Breachable makeshift defence
Liverpool have faced some huge injuries to the front line and lost Mo Salah to the Africa Cup of Nations for a long while. As a result, they’ve scored only 16 goals in their 11 league matches at Anfield. Unusually, Liverpool scored more goals (19) away from home than at their stadium.
The Reds have also conceded an average of one goal per home match this season, offering hope to the visitors. Despite Newcastle’s wealth of talented attackers, they’ve scored only 10 goals in their 11 away matches.
However, they’re certainly capable of piercing a makeshift home defence that will likely comprise Ryan Gravenberch at the back to cover Ibrahim Konate. Moreover, both teams have scored in 55% of Liverpool’s home matches. The home side have seen the same outcome in three of their four most recent league fixtures.
Additionally, four of the last five head-to-heads produced goals for both teams (80%). Howe’s men will likely get some joy at Anfield, especially with Yoanne Wissa starting to gain momentum.
- Liverpool vs Newcastle Betting Tip 1: BTTS - Yes at odds of 1.61 on 1xBet
Maintaining a 32-year record
Liverpool will hope that their two Champions League victories in the last two weeks can help turn their Premier League fortunes around. Amazingly, Slot’s team haven’t won a league match in their last five attempts, drawing four in that run.
Newcastle’s away form has been woeful, as they’ve won only two of their 11 away dates in the league. Five defeats in that run suggest that the Magpies aren’t difficult to defeat at Anfield. The head-to-head record leans heavily towards the Merseysiders, making a Liverpool win likely this weekend.
The Reds won the reverse fixture 3-2 at St James’ Park, part of a run of eight wins across their previous nine Premier League meetings. The only victory for the visitors came in the League Cup final earlier this year. It’s worth noting that Newcastle last beat Liverpool at Anfield in 1994.
- Liverpool vs Newcastle Betting Tip 2: 1x2 - Liverpool at odds of 1.79 on 1xBet
Building on midweek strike
Liverpool’s leading goalscorer in the Premier League this season is their new signing, Hugo Ekitike. However, the Frenchman hasn’t scored in this competition since before Christmas, so he will be eager to finally get onto the scoresheet.
Ekitike scored a goal just before the hour mark during the week. He currently has four goal involvements across his last five club appearances, although it must be noted that he didn’t start last week at Bournemouth.
The forward scored Liverpool’s second goal in the reverse fixture, so he knows what it takes to breach Howe’s defence. Playing in front of the Anfield faithful, Ekitike is likely to find the back of the net.
- Liverpool vs Newcastle Betting Tip 3: Anytime goalscorer - Hugo Ekitike at odds of 2.04 on 1xBet