Everton are unbeaten in their last three meetings. However, they still only average 1.23 points per game at their new Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Best bets for Everton vs Manchester United
- Both teams to score (Yes) & Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.105 with 1xBet
- Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist at odds of 2.855 with 1xBet
- Second Half (Half with most goals) at odds of 1.95 with 1xBet
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Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction: Everton 1-2 Manchester United
- Goalscorers prediction: Everton: Barry – Manchester United: Sesko, Mbeumo
Manchester United travel to Everton on Monday night aiming to cement their place in the top four of the Premier League.
Everton have only lost one of their last six Premier League games and sit in eighth position. It’s been a successful season for the Toffees, who still have an outside chance of qualifying for European competition next season. However, their home form must improve for this to happen. They’ve won only 31% of matches at their new Hill Dickinson Stadium in 2025/26.
Toffees’ boss, David Moyes, will be without the services of suspended defender Jake O’Brien. Meanwhile, Jack Grealish continues to sit on the sidelines after a potentially season-ending injury. The likes of Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Iliman Ndiaye have stepped up to the plate in his absence.
Life in the Old Trafford dugout couldn’t have gone much better for United’s interim boss Michael Carrick. The former United skipper has overseen four wins in their last five games to leapfrog Chelsea into fourth place in the table.
They still need to improve their away form if they are to become genuine top-four contenders this season. Despite averaging 2.08 points per game at home, they only have a 31% win rate on the road. They’ve also conceded 1.69 goals per game away from Old Trafford. Carrick’s injury list is as short as it’s been for some time, with Patrick Dorgu the only confirmed absentee. Both De Ligt and Mount are rated doubtful.
Probable lineups for Everton vs Manchester United
Everton expected lineup: Pickford, Patterson, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, Tarkowski, Gueye, Garner, George, Ndiaye, Dewsbury-Hall, Barry
Manchester United expected lineup: Lammens, Dalot, Shaw, Martinez, Maguire, Mainoo, Casemiro, Diallo, Fernandes, Mbeumo, Sesko
Entertaining contest expected
The average number of goals in Everton’s home games this season is 2.62. Meanwhile, the average goal total in United’s away games in 25/26 is higher at 3.38 goals per game.
United average 1.69 goals scored per away game, but they also concede exactly the same number of goals. Both teams have scored in 92% of their away fixtures, and the Red Devils haven’t kept a single clean sheet away this season.
Both teams have scored in more than half (54%) of Everton’s home games. The betting markets give only a 50% chance of three or more goals on Monday and both sides finding the net. Based on the above data, there is value in backing a goal-filled encounter.
- Everton vs Manchester United Bet 1: Both teams to score (Yes) & Over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.105 with 1xBet
Mbeumo to be heavily involved again
Bryan Mbeumo has been a huge talisman for Michael Carrick in recent weeks. The Cameroon international forward has made four goal contributions in his last five EPL appearances. He’s also been a virtual ever-present for the Red Devils, aside from his AFCON commitments over the festive period.
With 11 goal contributions in 21 EPL games this season, that’s a strike rate of 52.38% to score or assist per game.
The fair odds should therefore sit around the 1.91 (10/11) mark. However, the betting markets believe there is only a 50% chance of Mbeumo scoring or assisting against the Toffees.
- Everton vs Manchester United Bet 2: Bryan Mbeumo to score or assist at odds of 2.855 with 1xBet
Backing goals to flow after the interval
Looking at the frequency of Everton’s home goals scored and United’s away goals scored, there is a standout statistic. United have scored more than two-thirds (68%) of their away goals after half-time. In addition, 64% of their goals conceded away from home have also arrived in the second half.
Everton have also scored more than half (56%) of their home goals in the second 45 of matches. Six of their 16 goals scored at home have occurred in the final 15 minutes of games.
The betting markets let us back the second half to feature more goals than the first at a probability of only 50%. That seems low based on the data above. This could be the number-one value pick among our Everton vs Manchester United predictions.
- Everton vs Manchester United Bet 3: Second Half (Half with most goals) at odds of 1.95 with 1xBet
