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Robert Lewandowski Barcelona 2022-23Getty

Sevilla v FC Barcelona Predictions: La Liga Matchweek 4 Odds & Best Bets

Barcelona’s offense is the gift that keeps on giving this season. Their four-goal performance against Real Valladolid cashed the Over 3.5 goals prop, and Robert Lewandowski’s brace cashed his 2+ goals scored prop.

Their win continues their unbeaten streak in the league this season, and it is another shutout in the books for the side. They have only conceded one goal so far and have scored eight.

Sevilla is on an opposite trajectory to start the year. They have yet to win a game and are coming off a loss to the newly-promoted Almería. The Andalusians will look to get back on track at home against Barcelona this weekend.

Let’s dive in on the best bets and odds for this week’s matchup between Sevilla and Barcelona.

Ani Sridhar’s 2022-23 La Liga Betting Record: 8-5 (+4.2 units)

Sevilla v FC Barcelona Odds

  • 3-way handicap: Barcelona (-120) | Draw (+220) | Draw (+320)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 ( -130) | Under 2.5 (-105)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (-140) | No (+100)

Sevilla vs Barcelona odds are current as of Wednesday, Aug 31 at 11 a.m. ET on BetMGM Sportsbook.

I expected Barcelona to be bigger favorites going into this matchup due to the recent form of both sides, but since it is a road fixture for them, they are only at -120 to win this game.

Five straight La Liga matchups between the two clubs resulted in two or fewer goals scored, so the total of 2.5 is a sharp line.

FC Barcelona vs Real Valladolid Betting Tips

Key in on Barcelona’s Offense

I will continue to beat the drum on this Barcelona offense until they are stopped or even contained. Robert Lewandowski is picking up right where he left off with Bayern and looks to be worth all the money Barcelona spent on him during the summer window. His old nemesis, Erling Haaland, is giving him a run for his money for the best transfer in Europe but the season is still very early.

Barca has racked up 39 shots in their last two games, and they have the depth to maintain a dangerous attack for the full 90 minutes.

Xavi has Barcelona clicking on all cylinders on the offensive end but their defense is going overlooked. They’ve held their opponents to only one goal this season, and the additions of Andreas Christensen and Jules Koundé have been immense.

Once Koundé was finally registered and available to play, Barcelona went to a back four instead of a back three. Christensen is the perfect CB in the middle of a back three, so Xavi has the luxury of changing formations depending on the opponent.

Sevilla sorely miss Koundé’s presence on the back line from a season ago, as they have conceded in every game. They have dominated possession in all three games but have not been able to contain the opposition's attack.

Sevilla vs Barcelona Prediction

Sevilla 0-2 Barcelona

The Catalans will continue their winning streak and take all three points from this contest. Sevilla has finished fourth in La Liga for three straight seasons and haven’t finished below seventh since the 2012-2013 season but are off to a rocky start this year.

They should turn it around and finish in the top half of the table by the end of the season.

Sevilla vs Barcelona Best Bets

➕ Barcelona ML (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

One of the most staggering head to head stats in La Liga might be that Sevilla has only beaten Barca once in their last 30 La Liga matchups dating all the way back to 2007. They have failed to take three points from Barcelona in 13 straight matches. The last time Sevilla beat Barcelona at home was in 2015.

The Catalans are also unbeaten in their last seven trips against Andalusian clubs with four wins and three draws.

Barcelona or Draw is the best bet for the game just looking at the recent history between the two sides, but there is value at -120 to take Barca on the moneyline.

➕ Both Teams to Score: No (+100) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

In all three games this season, Sevilla has controlled over 60% of possession against their opponents. They will not be able to do that against Barcelona and will have to rely on a counter-attacking goal, which is not their style of play. Without being able to keep possession and slowly develop their attack, Sevilla will not have many goal-scoring opportunities.

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