One of the best derbies in the world takes center stage this Sunday in Spain’s capital city Madrid.
Los Rojiblancos play host to the defending La Liga champions with a chance to improve their standing in the La Liga table. Real Madrid has dominated the history between the two sides with 90 wins while Atletico only have 40.
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Both teams are coming off of midweek Champions League fixtures against Bundesliga teams but differing results. Atletico fell 0-2 to Bayer Leverkusen and Real defeated RB Leipzig 2-0 at the Bernabeu.
Karim Benzema will not feature in this edition of the derby since he is still nursing his thigh injury.
Let’s look at the betting odds for this Week 6 matchup between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid
Ani Sridhar’s 2022-23 La Liga Betting Record: 11-10 (+3.1 units)
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Odds
- 3-Way Handicap: Real Madrid (+145) | Draw (+240) | Atletico Madrid (+180)
- Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 ( -115) | Under 2.5 (-115)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-145)| No (+105)
Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid odds are current as of 3 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sept. 15, at BetMGM Sportsbook.
The books have this game slated to be a close contest with no clear favorite. Real Madrid are +145 to win this match and there is no favorite on the total. Recently, the matchup between the two sides have been low scoring with the Under 2.5 hitting in their last six matches.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
This game will be a battle in the midfield with Real Madrid controlling the possession and the home side dropping back to limit the goal-scoring opportunities. The identity of Atletico Madrid has always been a disciplined defense and then capitalizing on the counter attack under manager Diego Simeone.
Similar to their match against RB Leipzig, Los Blancos will look to control the middle of the pitch with Luka Modric and Toni Kroos and capitalize when Atletico go on the counter attack.
The last meeting between the clubs resulted in a 1-0 victory for Atletico Madrid at home and Real Madrid have not lost consecutive La Liga derbies at the Metropolitano Stadium since 1977. Eden Hazard will most likely play in a false nine position yet again or they will start Rodrygo at the top in a pure striker position.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction
Atletico Madrid 0-1 Real Madrid
The Atletico Madrid defense has not been the disciplined side we have witnessed the last five years. They are conceding easy goals and are not built to come back and win games in which they trail. The home team prefers to take an early lead and then hold instead of playing catch up.
I would not be surprised if this game ends in a 0-0 draw, but the edge goes to the visitors and they will grab a second-half game winner.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Best Bets
➕Real Madrid ML (+145) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
History is on the side of Real Madrid as they do not lose successive La Liga matches to their city rivals as the away side. The international break is looming, and they will look to continue their six-match winning streak before the time off. Real Madrid are the only team out of the five major leagues to win every single one of their domestic matches so far.
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➕ Under 2.5 Goals Scored (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The way these two teams play will not lead to a lot of goal-scoring opportunities. Real Madrid will dominate possession while Atlético Madrid will drop almost everyone back to hold the away team out. Real Madrid love to capitalize on a counter attack but Atleti do not press high enough where they are susceptible on the backline. Back a low-scoring affair in the Madrid derby this weekend.
- Bet on the Under to hit at BetMGM.