Chelsea and AC Milan will square off on Wednesday, Oct. 5, at Stamford Bridge, in what will be the first of two matches within a week against each other in the Champions League.
Through two matches, the Blues sit at the bottom of Group E following their loss to Dinamo Zagreb and draw with RB Salzburg.
Meanwhile, AC Milan is perched on top of Group E with four points but has suffered several key injuries during the international break.
Will the Rossoneri be able to walk away with points in West London? Or will Graham Potter have Chelsea prepared to defend their home turf?
Let’s look at current betting lines to identify the best bets and props for this Champions League fixture.
Matthew Williams' 2022-23 EPL/UCL Betting Record: 25-16 (+15.8 units)
Chelsea vs AC Milan Odds
- 3-way handicap: Chelsea (-135) | Draw (+280) | AC Milan (+350)
- Draw No Bet: Chelsea (-350) |AC Milan (+230)
- Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 ( -125) | Under 2.5 (-110)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-130) | No (-110)
Chelsea vs AC Milan odds are current as of Thursday, Sept. 29, on PointsBet Sportsbook.
Chelsea is favored in this matchup, but given the odds for the 3-way handicap and Both Teams To Score, there seems to be an expectation for a close game.
A draw is impacting the 3-way result quite a bit when compared to the Blues' -350 advantage in a Draw No Bet, while the match total is leaning just slightly toward the Over.
Chelsea vs AC Milan Betting Tips
- Chelsea have conceded a goal in their last seven matches.
- Chelsea are unbeaten at home this season.
- AC Milan have scored in every match but one since last April.
- AC Milan have not secured a clean sheet in their last five matches.
Chelsea vs AC Milan Prediction
Chelsea 2:1 AC Milan
AC Milan will be without several key players, including Theo Hernandez, Sandro Tonali, and goalkeeper Mike Maignan. This will create an uphill battle for Stefano Pioli’s side, who are also likely to be missing striker Divock Origi and Ante Rebić.
On the other hand, the Blues could get a major boost with the return of midfielder N’Golo Kanté.
The bottom line here is that AC Milan will be severely undermanned while on the road. Chelsea should be able to command possession and pick apart the Milan defense in front of the Stamford Bridge crowd.
Chelsea vs AC Milan Best Bets
➕ Chelsea Wins & Both Teams Score (+250) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
As mentioned above, AC Milan have been held scoreless just once since April. It would be difficult to bet against that pattern of success, even under the circumstances.
That said, I expect a Chelsea victory in this matchup with the Italian side missing several key players.