Although the Black Cats have struggled to score goals away from the Stadium of Light, they're likely to score but ultimately lose this match.
Best bets for Liverpool vs Sunderland
- Liverpool -1 (Handicap 3-Way) at odds of 1.94 with Betway
- Both Teams to Score (Yes) at odds of 1.85 with Betway
- 2nd Half (Half With Most Goals) at odds of 2.06 with Betway
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Our analysis: Form of both teams
- Score prediction – Liverpool 3-1 Sunderland
- Goalscorers prediction – Liverpool: Isak x2, Gakpo – Sunderland: Isidor
Newly promoted Sunderland travel to Liverpool on Wednesday night, knowing that a win could move Regis Le Bris’ team back into the top four.
Almost no one has expected that Sunderland would be two places and one point ahead of the defending champions, Liverpool, after 13 games. Yet, Arne Slot’s men have suffered a significant decline in form after a strong start to 2025/26. They’ve won two of their last four games, showing signs that they are resolving their problems in both defense and attack.
The Reds are yet to draw a game so far this season. On Sunday, they secured a comfortable 2-0 win against West Ham, who ended the contest with ten men. Alexander Isak got his name on the scoresheet, which will surely increase his confidence.
Sunderland recovered from a two-goal deficit to win 3-2 at home against AFC Bournemouth on Saturday. It was the first time that the Black Cats had won from two goals down in Premier League history. This achievement demonstrates this new squad’s character and confidence.
The Black Cats are in the top six based largely on their home form, as they have an average of 2.14 points per game. Away from Wearside, they currently average just 1.17 points per game, having scored just three goals in six away fixtures.
Probable lineups for Liverpool vs Sunderland
Liverpool expected lineup: Alisson; Kerkez, Gomez, Konate, van Dijk, Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Gakpo, Wirtz, Isak
Sunderland expected lineup: Roefs; Mandava, Mukiele, Ballard, Alderete, Xhaka, Sadiki, Traore, Talbi, Le Fee, Isidor
Reds to win by at least a two-goal margin
The Reds have won four of their six home games so far in the Premier League this season. They’ve won twice by two-goal margins, while their other two victories came by a one-goal margin.
Their wins over AFC Bournemouth and Aston Villa serve as good comparisons, since Sunderland are currently in a similar league position as them. Arne Slot’s men managed to win by two clear goals on both occasions.
Additionally, Sunderland’s poor away form is a major factor. Regis Le Bris’ men have lost 50% of their away games, with an average of just 0.5 goals scored per away game. Two of their three defeats have come by a two-goal margin. Therefore, the defending champions are worth backing to cover this handicap on Wednesday night.
- Liverpool vs Sunderland Bet 1: Liverpool -1 (Handicap 3-Way) at odds of 1.94 with Betway
Backing the Black Cats to test Liverpool’s fragile defence
Although Sunderland will likely lose on Wednesday, they may score at Anfield. Liverpool have conceded in four of their six home games so far this season.
Both teams have scored in just 17% of Sunderland’s away games. However, they will consider this trip to Anfield as an opportunity to play without pressure, especially after their come-from-behind victory over AFC Bournemouth.
At a probability of 54.05%, both teams are likely to find the net in midweek. The Black Cats are known for speedy transitions, which are more likely to hurt Liverpool, who commit many players forward during attacks.
- Liverpool vs Sunderland Bet 2: Both Teams to Score (Yes) at odds of 1.85 with Betway
Data points towards more goals in the second period
All of the data surrounding Liverpool suggests that there will be more goals in the second half than in the first. Only 17% of Liverpool’s home games have featured two or more first-half goals. Meanwhile, half of the Reds’ home games have featured two or more second-half goals scored.
Sunderland have conceded two or more goals in just 33% of their away games so far this season. The Black Cats have actually seen more first-half goals (0.83) than second-half goals (0.67) this campaign.
Le Bris’ men will aim to contain and frustrate the Reds at the beginning of the match. However, Liverpool’s firepower will eventually prevail. Therefore, this is the best value bet from our trio of Liverpool vs Sunderland predictions. Isak’s return to goalscoring form against West Ham on Sunday is a particularly worrying sign for Sunderland.
- Liverpool vs Sunderland Bet 3: 2nd Half (Half With Most Goals) at odds of 2.06 with Betway