James Milner Liverpool 2019-20Getty Images

Premier League Betting: Liverpool title-winning margin

Liverpool are eight points clear at the top of the Premier League after winning their opening eight games, with James Milner’s injury-time penalty against Leicester City maintaining the Reds' perfect league record.

Manchester City's 2-0 home defeat by Wolves – their second loss of the campaign – meant they failed to close the gap on the Reds back to five points, and now Liverpool are just 4/6 (1.67) to win the title with bet365.

Although 4/6 (1.67) does not offer much value for many bettors, those who want to back Jurgen Klopp’s side to lift the Premier League at a longer price can do so by backing the margin of victory in a special bet365 market.

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The online bookmaker offers 11/4 (3.75) that Liverpool win the league by a margin of just 1-3 points inclusive, which happened last season when City pipped Klopp’s men by just a single point. Interestingly, 2018-19 was the first time a side had won the title by between one and three points since the 2013-14 campaign.

It is 9/2 (5.50) that the Reds claim the title with a winning margin of 4-6 points, which would likely afford the Reds some breathing room at the business end of the season.

Backing the eventual winners to win the title by this margin would have only paid out four other times in Premier League history, with the most recent occasion coming in 2009 when Manchester United lifted the trophy at the expense of Liverpool.

Those who think Liverpool will lead the league by a comfortable margin after 38 games can back the 7/1 (8.0) available on them winning by 7-9 points.

This specific selection would have paid out seven times in Premier League history, including twice in the last five seasons for Chelsea, and would likely require City to regress compared to the previous two campaigns.

Raheem Sterling Manchester City 2019-20Getty Images

Indeed, Guardiola led his side to a record-breaking 100 points in 2017-18 and 98 last year, meaning the Liverpool would need between 106 and 108 points if the Citizens recreate their tally from last term.

A 10+ winning margin is available at 20/1 (21.0), whilst the Reds to lift the title by virtue of goal difference is 14/1 (15.0) - not surprising given that this has only ever happened once in Premier League history.

Liverpool to not win the title is a 6/5 (2.20) shot with bet365 but punters who believe they will fall short are advised to back the 13/10 (2.30) price on City to win the title again, given the disparity between the top two and the rest of the league.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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