Liverpool bounced back in a major way in Matchweek 4, dismantling Bournemouth in a 9-0 home victory. The Reds got two goals each from Roberto Firmino and Luis Díaz as they completely dominated the overmatched Cherries.
Newcastle have gone unbeaten in their first four matches, winning one and drawing three. They’re coming off a 1-1 deadlock with Wolves after winger Allan Saint-Maximin scored the equalizer in the 90th minute. The Magpies attempted an impressive 21 shots in this game.
The Reds are rumored to be on the hunt for some help in the midfield, looking to add one before the Thursday transfer deadline with Thiago Alcântara, Naby Keïta, Curtis Jones, and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain sidelined with injuries.
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Meanwhile, Newcastle is dealing with some injuries of their own, as Saint-Maximin may have strained his hamstring in the match against Wolves. However, there’s a chance that new striker Alexander Isak can make his debut in this match
Can Liverpool make it two wins in a row? Or will Newcastle extend their unbeaten streak to five games?
Let’s take a look at the current betting odds to find some best bets and predictions for this Aug. 31 match.
Frank Ammirante’s 2022-2023 EPL Betting Record: 5-4 (+0.88 units)
Liverpool vs Newcastle Odds
- 3-Way Handicap: Liverpool (-303) | Newcastle (+775) | Draw (+450)
- Draw No Bet: Liverpool (-1111) / Newcastle (+575)
- Over/Under Goals: Over 3.5 (+115) / Under 3.5 (-159)
Liverpool vs Newcastle odds are current as of Sunday, Aug. 28 from BetMGM Sportsbook.
Liverpool are heavy favorites in this match, which should come as no surprise with how tough they can be at Anfield. The total is at 3.5 goals, so we could see a high-scoring match here. There’s some value on the Over, but it’s definitely a high bar to clear.
We’re not going to pay over (-300) odds on any wager, so we’ll have to look toward the match handicap or game total to find best bets.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Betting Tips
Roberto Firmino has found his form
Not only did Firmino score two goals against Bournemouth, but he also added three assists. It was great news for Liverpool to see the Brazilian international get back on track. They’ll need all the help they can get considering their injury issues.
Firmino looks all the way back from his foot injury, which is bad news for opposing defenses.
Liverpool are still vulnerable in the midfield
Liverpool’s midfield consisted of Fabinho, Jordan Henderson, and Harvey Elliott in the win over Bournemouth. They’re missing key pieces here, like Keita and Thiago. That puts more pressure on attackers like Mohamed Salah to pick up the slack.
We’ll see if they add another midfielder before the transfer deadline, as they definitely need some help here.
Newcastle are no pushover
Newcastle are a formidable mid-table club – this will be a much different match than the one against Bournemouth. This is a squad that had a lead for the majority of the match against Manchester City, only for it to end in a 3-3 draw.
We could see a close game here. While it’s tough to see Newcastle winning at Anfield, they’re likely to put a scare into the Reds.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction
Liverpool 2-1 Newcastle
Newcastle demonstrated their resiliency with a last-minute draw at Wolves and will take advantage of Liverpool’s injury-depleted midfield, keeping it close at Anfield.
Look for Liverpool to squeak one out in this match.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Best Bets
➕ Match Handicap: Newcastle +1.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
We like taking the underdog on the Match Handicap here. This is a two-match week for the EPL, but Liverpool has a big match in the Merseyside Derby against rival Everton. We could see a bit of a letdown from them coming off a 9-0 win against Bournemouth.
While Liverpool should win, the +1.5 at (-115) odds is too enticing to pass up.
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➕ Both Teams to Score (-125) at BetMGM
WAGER: 1 Unit
Newcastle have scored at least one goal in four of five fixtures this season, including three against Manchester City. Liverpool have scored in each of their matches. There’s an extremely low chance that the Reds don’t score here, so we just need one from Newcastle.
This wager can act as a hedge against our Match Handicap, just in case Newcastle gets a goal but still loses by two or more goals.
- Bet on this prop at BetMGM.
➕ 1st Half Result: Tie (+155) at BetMGM
WAGER: 1 Unit
Since we’re projecting a close game here, we’ll take a risk on the first-half draw. We’re getting nice value at (+155) odds. Hopefully, Isak is able to make his Newcastle debut for this match, as he’d give the Magpies a dangerous target man up front.
- Bet on this game prop at BetMGM.