Manchester City FC v Chelsea FC - Premier LeagueGetty Images Sport

Champions League permutations: What results Manchester City, Aston Villa, Liverpool & Arsenal need

The UEFA Champions League league stage is down to its final match day, and the closing round promises to deliver all the drama anticipated when UEFA introduced its revamped format.

For Manchester City, the wait will be anything but comfortable. Despite their ambitions of clinching a second European crown, they now face the stark reality of not having full control over their fate as the last round approaches.

Wednesday's defeat saw Pep Guardiola's side tumble to 25th in the Champions League standings. The dreams of a top-eight finish and a direct ticket to the knockout stage are all but dashed. Now, even securing a spot in the playoff round is in jeopardy.

Meanwhile, the other Premier League representatives are in much better shape. Liverpool's flawless campaign has them sitting pretty at the top of the group, already assured of progression. Arsenal, on the other hand, would need a monumental defeat combined with a string of highly unlikely results to slip out of the top eight.

As for Aston Villa, they sit just outside the coveted top eight, while Manchester City must win and rely on a touch of fortune to squeeze into the playoff picture.

As the final round of fixtures looms, the fate of three of these English clubs hangs in the balance. Here's the latest on their standings and the scenarios that will determine their path in the Europe's top-tier club competition.

  • Arsenal FC v GNK Dinamo - UEFA Champions League 2024/25 League Phase MD7Getty Images Sport

    What do Arsenal need to progress to the Champions League knockout stages?

    Arsenal currently sit third in the league phase standings with just one match left to play. Their final scheduled fixture will see them travel to face Girona next week.

    The Gunners bolstered their position with a commanding 3-0 victory over Dinamo Zagreb on Wednesday, and results from other league phase matches have all but sealed their spot in the last 16.

    For Mikel Arteta's side, only an improbable set of outcomes in the final round of games could prevent them from finishing in the top eight, even in the event of a loss.

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  • Arsenal FC v Aston Villa FC - Premier LeagueGetty Images Sport

    What do Aston Villa need to progress to the Champions League knockout stages?

    Aston Villa occupy ninth place heading into their decisive clash against Celtic at Villa Park on January 29. Unai Emery’s squad remains on the fringes of the top eight and will be aiming to leap into a direct qualification spot for the Round of 16 with a win over Brendan Rodgers' side.

    Even if Villa fail to secure victory, their position in the top 24 is assured, guaranteeing at least a berth in the knockout play-off round.

  • Manchester City FC v Chelsea FC - Premier LeagueGetty Images Sport

    What do Man City need to progress to the Champions League knockout stages?

    Manchester City face a do-or-die situation as they prepare to host Club Brugge on Matchday 8 of the Champions League league phase. With nine of the expanded 36 teams already eliminated, the pressure is mounting on the reigning Premier League champions to secure their survival in Europe.

    Sitting precariously in 25th place, Pep Guardiola's side is on the brink of elimination. Any team finishing 25th or lower will be knocked out after the final round of fixtures, leaving City with no room for error.

    Their clash with Club Brugge, scheduled for Wednesday, January 29, is a must-win. A draw or loss would guarantee an early exit for the reigning English champions. Even with a victory, City cannot directly qualify for the last 16 but must fight to finish inside the top 24 to keep their European journey alive.

  • Liverpool FC v LOSC Lille - UEFA Champions League 2024/25 League Phase MD7Getty Images Sport

    What do Liverpool need to progress to the Champions League knockout stages?

    Liverpool sit comfortably atop the league phase standings with just one game remaining. The Reds will visit Dutch outfit PSV for their final fixture before the knockout stages. Regardless of the result in Eindhoven, the Reds are guaranteed a top-eight finish, securing their direct passage to the last 16.