Real Madrid picked up right where they left off last year with another come-from-behind victory against Almería on the opening weekend of the La Liga season. We hit both teams to score but fell short of the over 3.5 total goals wager.
It was not a convincing win for Madrid, but they found a way to get all three points. Celta de Vigo conceded a penalty deep into stoppage time, which led to a 2-2 draw instead of an opening weekend win against Espanyol.
This will feel like a familiar matchup for Celta Vigo as Madrid lines up in the same formation as Espanyol, so tactically, they will not have to adjust much from their game plan on defense.
Let’s look at the betting odds for this Week 2 matchup between Celta de Vigo and Real Madrid.
Ani Sridhar’s 2022-23 La Liga Betting Record: 1-3, - 2 units
Celta Vigo v Real Madrid Odds
-3-way handicap: Real Madrid -135 | Celta Vigo +290 | Draw +300
-Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 ( -160) / Under 2.5 (+115)
-Both Teams to Score: Yes -160 | No +115
Celta Vigo v Real Madrid odds are current as of Tuesday, Aug. 16, on BetMGM Sportsbook.
Another away fixture for Real Madrid to start the season gives us value on their money line. If this game were played at home, Madrid would be favored at least -200 or even higher.
Both teams eclipsed 2.5 goals in their games last weekend, which is why the Over is juiced to -160.
Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
Expect goals from Real Madrid & fouls from Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo’s defense will be their Achilles' heel this season. They allowed 1.13 goals per game last year and are off to a shaky start after conceding two goals to Espanyol in the opener. In addition, their entire backline picked up a yellow card in the contest except for Unai Núñez, and as a total, the team committed 17 fouls.
Vinicius Jr. will have a field day on the wing in this game, and the Celta Vigo defense will not be able to contain him. So expect either an assist or goal from Vini in this game. Karim Benzema was held off the scoresheet against Almería, but he should score this weekend.
Real Madrid had a blistering 29 shots last weekend, with 15 goals on target. They will get the same if not more chances against Celta Vigo, and we can expect more goals this time around.
Targeting the Real Madrid goals and the yellow cards for Celta Vigo will be the way to attack this game from a props standpoint.
Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid Prediction
Celta de Vigo 1-3 Real Madrid
I expect the defending champions to start the season with two wins and extend their goal differential. Real Madrid could also score more than three goals in this contest. However, Celta Vigo has the benefit of playing at home, and the Real Madrid defense did show they can be beaten after conceding against Almería.
Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid Best Bets
➕ Over 3.5 Goals Scored (+150) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 unit
I took this same bet in Real Madrid's first game and got burned by missed chances. I am counting on Real Madrid finishing in front of the net this time and backing the game total over 3.5 goals.
If Celta Vigo can score as well, then there is a much better chance of this bet hitting. Another reason for the lack of goals in their first game for Madrid could have been the short week since they played in the UEFA Super Cup just days before their matchup against Almería.
With a whole week of rest, expect many goals this coming Saturday.
➕ Real Madrid Moneyline (-135) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 unit
We are getting a great price on Real Madrid to win because they are the away team. Celta Vigo is not a threat in the league this season, and they could finish lower than Almería. This will be an easier test for Madrid, and they should have no problem grabbing three points.
Real Madrid has won four straight matches against Celta Vigo and seven of their last eight, with the only other match resulting in a draw.
Bet on Real Madrid to win at BetMGM.
➕ Real Madrid to win and Both Teams to Score (+220) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 units
Only a half unit on this bet, but if I expect Celta Vigo to score at least one and Real Madrid to win, this bet is perfect.
If you are feeling even bolder, Real Madrid to win from behind is +750, a feat which they are far too familiar with.
Bet on this prop at BetMGM.