AC Milan and Chelsea will square off on Tuesday, Oct. 11, at San Siro Stadium in what will be the second of two matches within a week against each other in the Champions League.
Through three matches, the Blues and AC Milan are tied for second in the table for Group E with records of 1-1-1, trailing Salzburg by one point.
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AC Milan is dealing with several critical injuries that occurred during the international break, hindering their chances last week at Stamford Bridge.
Will the Rossoneri be able to avenge last week's loss to Chelsea in front of their home fans? Or will Graham Potter find a way to one-up AC Milan once again? Let’s look at current betting lines to identify the best bets and props for this Champions League fixture.
Matthew Williams' 2022-23 EPL/UCL Betting Record: 25-18 (+13.8 units)
AC Milan vs Chelsea Milan Odds
- 3-way handicap: AC Milan (+195) | Draw (+240) | Chelsea (+135)
- Draw No Bet: AC Milan (+110) | Chelsea (-150)
- Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-105) | Under 2.5 (-130)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes (-130) | No (-110)
AC Milan vs Chelsea odds are current as of Monday, Oct. 10, on BetMGM Sportsbook.
Chelsea comes in as a modest favorite in this matchup on the road. However, despite their impressive victory last week over AC Milan, there is an expectation for a close game.
A draw is impacting the 3-way result quite a bit when compared to the Blues' -150 advantage in a Draw No Bet, while both teams are expected to score.
AC Milan vs Chelsea Betting Tips
- Chelsea have conceded a goal in five of their last seven matches.
- However, the Blues have a clean sheet in their previous two fixtures.
- Before their UCL match against Chelsea last week, AC Milan had scored in every match but one since last April.
- AC Milan have not secured a clean sheet in their last seven matches.
AC Milan vs Chelsea Prediction
AC Milan 1-2 Chelsea
AC Milan will once again be without several key players, including Zlatan Ibrahimović, Simon Kjær, Alexis Saelemaekers, Davide Calabria, Junior Messias, Alessandro Florenzi, Charles De Ketelaere, and goalkeeper Mike Maignan.
However, superstar Theo Hernández is expected to return to Stefano Pioli’s side on Tuesday after missing last week’s match in London.
On the other side, Chelsea are still expected to be without midfielder N’Golo Kanté, in addition to Hakim Ziyech, and center back Wesley Fofana, who suffered a knee injury against AC Milan in last week’s contest. It is possible that deadline-day acquisition Denis Zakaria will suit up for the first time this season.
AC Milan will be squaring off against the Blues, severely understaffed once again, but will benefit from their home crowd in this fixture. I expect Chelsea to command possession again in a close match, with the expectation that Rafael Leão and Milan find the back of the net.
AC Milan vs Chelsea Best Bets
➕ Chelsea Wins & Both Teams Score (+360) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
I expect a Chelsea victory in this rematch due to AC Milan missing several key players. However, I doubt the Blues will carry a clean sheet on Tuesday, allowing the Italian side to score at home.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang seems to be settling in with Chelsea, giving them a much-needed threat in the box. Meanwhile, Mason Mount appears to be thriving under Potter’s system, collecting two assists in their latest Premier League victory over Wolverhampton.
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