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Man City have a mentality problem: Pep Guardiola's side are incapable of keeping their head, leaving their season on the brink of burning out after Real Madrid capitulation

It was less than four months ago that Pep Guardiola was asked what he valued most in his Manchester City players. At the time, City had won nine of their first 12 matches of the season in all competitions while remaining unbeaten. They looked very much capable of winning a fifth-consecutive Premier League title and had snatched results against Wolves and Arsenal with late goals. The coach's response is worth re-visiting after City took a 2-1 lead against Real Madrid with 10 minutes remaining at the Etihad Stadium and turned it into a 3-2 defeat.

"They have an incredible mentality," Guardiola said at the time. "Most of them are so strong, so competitive. There’s a tendency to relax, I always have this concern when we win again. What is it going to happen? A drop after you win. But I don’t see it. I don’t see it winning or losing, performing well or bad. I don’t see this factor of dropping. Everyone pushes each other. They push me and push my staff with ideas, with new things. If I don’t like it, they accept it well because it’s for the team. They forget immediately, win or lose. They’re on to the next, what’s next? They’re true competitors."

How far away that statement feels right now. Because if there is one thing that sums up Manchester City at the moment, it is their mental fragility.

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    Pattern developing

    Jurgen Klopp called his Liverpool side the 'mentality monsters', but more often than not, City had the mental edge over the Reds, pipping them to the Premier League title on three out of four occasions when they duelled at the summit. City have won six league crowns in the last seven years, amassing 18 trophies on Guardiola's watch. But something truly remarkable has happened to City this season.

    They have lost no fewer than five matches in 2024-25 from winning positions, as many as in the previous four seasons combined. Madrid's late turnaround from being 2-1 down in the 80th minute to 3-2 up in the 91st was emphatic and stunning, but it did not come out of the blue.

    It was not even the latest turnaround of the season to cost City. Guardiola's side were leading against Manchester United until conceding Bruno Fernandes' penalty in the 88th minute, only to then see Amad Diallo net a winner in the 90th. The Cityzens chucked away a 2-0 advantage at Paris Saint-Germain to lose 4-2, while also losing from winning positions against Sporting CP and Brighton. City were leading at the Amex Stadium until the 78th minute, but by the 83rd they were behind.

    City have also thrown away leads in matches they have not lost, for example when they were 2-0 up at Brentford last month but drew 2-2 after conceding in the 82nd and 92nd minutes.

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    Worrying theme

    City's tendency to collapse has been particularly prevalent in the Champions League. They have shipped eight goals in the last 16 minutes across five of their nine games in Europe's top competition. Their most spectacular surrender was actually in a game they did not lose, the 3-3 draw with Feyenoord, but it sure felt like a defeat, as they squandered their 3-0 advantage by shipping three goals between the 74th and 89th minutes.

    City might have thought, however, that they had gotten away with it when they came through their dire League Phase campaign by beating Club Brugge and finishing 22nd out of 36, sneaking into the play-offs. Sure, they had to face Real Madrid, the undisputed kings of the competition, but they had knocked them out of Europe twice before and thrashed them 4-0 at the Etihad less than two years ago.

    City led a charmed life for much of Tuesday's first leg. Their fans rubbed Rodri's Ballon d'Or win in the face of Vinicius Jr before kick-off, then breathed a sigh of relief both when the Brazilian was flagged offside when he would have otherwise have won a penalty and when his shot deflected off Manuel Akanji and onto the crossbar. They jeered in delight when Kylian Mbappe missed a gilt-edged chance at the end of the first half. They celebrated every block and tackle like it was a goal. And when Haaland sent Thibaut Courtois the wrong way to restore their lead in the 80th minute, City supporters thought they were heading to the Spanish capital next week with a lovely one-goal cushion.

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    'We gave it away'

    But those very same tendencies they had demonstrated throughout the League Phase came back to haunt them on Tuesday. Ederson, who was culpable for the defeats in Paris and Turin, as well as the disastrous draw with Feyenoord, was one of City's top performers against Madrid until he gave Ruben Dias a hospital pass from a goal kick and subsequently pushed Vinicius' central shot straight to the feet of Brahim Diaz, gifting the Spaniards their second equaliser.

    Rico Lewis, meanwhile, suffered an untimely lapse of concentration and lost the ball to Vinicius, the last person he wanted to give it to, leading to Jude Bellingham's winner. City had seen this movie before, especially against Madrid, who knocked them out in the semi-finals in 2022 with two injury-time goals from Rodrygo. But if that late surrender in the Bernabeu felt like a one-off, what happened on Tuesday at the Etihad Stadium felt a lot more like deja-vu. Guardiola struggled to explain what had happened to his team. Or rather, what keeps on happening.

    "We were not able to manage the situation," he said. "After 2-1, it happened what has happened many times this season – against Feyenoord, Sporting, Brentford, United. At the end we gave it away. At that level it is so difficult. It is not the first time, it has happened many times, and that is why it is difficult. We talk about that [how to stop it] but that is hard. We have to know that mistakes in some areas when we are there are difficult to manage. It has happened many times."

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    Groundhog Day

    Guardiola insisted that it was not about individuals. Ederson has certainly been a common denominator in many of City's awful results this season, but the coach admitted that his team were suffering from a collective malaise, including himself in that assessment.

    "It belongs to all of us, not the players. I don’t have a problem to accept that it doesn’t work like it did in the past, it’s not a problem but [it’s about] all of us," he said. "For me, it would be easy to blame a specific player, but that is ridiculous and doesn’t work. Me the first – and the players as well. They want it – how they run, how they do it – but the truth is that we are not stable enough in those moments. Today is not an exception, it happened many times."

    The fact that Guardiola kept repeating the words "many times" illustrated how there is a sense of Groundhog Day about City in the last three months.

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    'Angry and frustrated'

    John Stones was also at a loss to explain what had happened. "I don’t know how to put it into words straight away," the defender told Amazon Prime. "It’s so raw and frustrating for everyone. We were right in the game until so late on, and then two situations happen and we end up conceding. It’s frustrating as a defender to come away with that result. Angry and frustrated is what I can say.

    "Honestly, I haven’t got the answer. We need to see games out better, that’s for sure. The manager has said to us that we need to take accountability for what we do on the pitch, and I think we do. These bad moments happen in games. We had a great opportunity to go to the Bernabeu 2-1 up, and we go now needing a goal to level when we get there.

    "I think how we started the game, we were right on top. We know the quality that Madrid have got. What happened is avoidable from us as the 11 on the pitch. We’ve got to do better, it’s as simple as that. We have to keep a positive mentality and look forward. We’ve got another 90 minutes to put things right."

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    Naive and lacking belief

    But it is hard for City to keep a positive mentality when their mentality seems to be the thing that is causing their biggest problems. The team seem to be suffering from complacency, still thinking that they are as strong as they used to be, thinking that they can switch off at the end of games and get away with it.

    "I think there was a lot of naivety from Manchester City, especially late on in the game,” said former England captain Wayne Rooney on Amazon Prime. "But also early on you could see Madrid were going to get chances. For me, I think the Manchester City players over the last few years, we’ve seen a belief and confidence that whatever game they’re in they are going to go and win the game. I think the players tonight were looking round and looking at each other almost with a lack of belief in each other and I think that’s a worry for Guardiola."

    Another worry for Guardiola is the realisation that his side's season is almost over. If City fail to turn the tie around in the Bernabeu, a stadium where they have not won in their last three visits and have only won once in their last six matches, then the FA Cup and a top-four finish will be the only things left to fight for. The spring, usually a period of so much excitement for the club, which conjures up memories of enticing Champions League ties and title showdowns, will feel more like a pre-season campaign.

    Indeed, City have almost approached the last few months as if it were the end of the school year. The single-minded, relentless mentality that Guardiola raved about has been replaced by hopelessness. And no one, not even the man renowned for his insatiable quest for perfection, seems to know how they can get it back.