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Middlesbrough v Leeds United Betting Tips: Latest odds, team news, preview and predictions

13:03 GMT 01/03/2018
Samuel Saiz Leeds United 2017
Tony Pulis’ Boro are well-fancied to beat Paul Heckingbottom’s Whites, but our tipster sees the Samuel Saiz-inspired visitors causing problems

Middlesbrough host Leeds United in the Friday night Championship clash at the Riverside Stadium.

Both sides can put pressure on the top six here, with Boro currently just three points shy of sixth-placed Sheffield United and 19/10 (2.90) with SportPesa to make the playoffs.

Leeds, meanwhile, are only six points off themselves and represent a tempting bet at 18/1 (19.0) in the same market.

Latest odds

The hosts are hot favourites at 10/13 (1.77) to gain the three points that would see them move into the play-off places courtesy of goal difference ahead of Saturday’s fixtures.

Paul Heckingbottom reorded his first victory as Leeds manager against Brentford last Saturday and is 15/4 (4.50) to make it two in a row.

The draw, meanwhile, is 12/5 (3.40).

Team News

Rudy Gestede’s hold-up play made him an important player for Middlesbrough under Tony Pulis, but the target man is out for the rest of the season with an ankle injury.

Britt Assombalonga is likely to start up top alongside Patrick Bamford, who is 21/4 (6.25) to bag first after a brace last time out.

Luke Ayling and Conor Shaughnessy are sidelined with ankle problems for Leeds, but they have improved since attacking midfielder Samuel Saiz - 7/2 (4.5) to score anytime - returned from suspension.

Value with Leeds?

The West Yorkshire outfit have scored two or more goals in 37% of the Championship games Saiz has featured in.

As such, 29/10 (3.9) on Leeds scoring over 1.5 goals, which implies a probability of 26%, looks good value, especially against a Middlesbrough side without a clean sheet in five games.

Preview and predictions

Our best bet is the Evens (2.0) on the 'Double Chance – Leeds win or draw', which will pay out so long as Heckingbottom’s men avoid defeat on Teesside, where we see them proving more than a match for Boro.

Double chance - Leeds United win or draw at evens (2.0) for a 1pt stake with SportPesa