Manchester United vs Liverpool Predictions: EPL Matchweek Three Odds & Best Bets

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Darwin Nunez James Milner Liverpool Crystal Palace 2022-23Getty Images

Matchweek two of the Premier League featured disappointing results for each of these clubs, with Manchester United dropping their second consecutive game in a 4-0 blowout to Brentford. At the same time, Liverpool finished with a draw at home against Crystal Palace.

The Erik ten Hag era has gotten off to a rough start at Old Trafford, forcing the team to look for some late additions in the transfer market. Meanwhile, Liverpool has less to worry about, as they deserve better than two points with how they played in those matches.

The two prestigious clubs meet this weekend, in a fixture which is renowned as one of the biggest rivalries in not only English football, but the entire world.

With both teams desperate for three points, the question is, will Liverpool take care of business on the road? Or can Manchester United get back on track with an upset win at home?

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Let’s dive into the current betting odds to find some best bets and predictions for this Aug. 22 match.

Frank Ammirante's 2022-23 EPL Betting Record: 1-2, -0.8 units

Manchester United vs Liverpool Odds

-3-Way Handicap: Manchester United (+450) | Liverpool (-189) | Draw (+350)

-Draw No Bet: Manchester United (+320) / Liverpool (-500)

-Over/Under Goals: Over 3.5 (+120) / Under 3.5 (-164)

Manchester United vs Liverpool odds are current as of Aug. 16 from BetMGM Sportsbook.

It should not come as a surprise that Liverpool is a heavy road favorite here, with their opponents in a state of disarray right now. Nevertheless, the Under is juiced because 3.5 is a high number, especially for a tightly-contested derby match like this one.

We do not like to pay expensive odds unless they look underpriced, so the prudent play may be to explore other bet types to be profitable here.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Betting Tips

Liverpool has dominated Manchester United in recent years

Liverpool has taken control of this fixture in recent matchups in the Premier League. The Merseysiders have gone unbeaten in the last eight league fixtures against the side from Old Trafford with a 5-3-0 record. In fact, the last three EPL matches have ended with 4-0, 5-0, and 4-2 results in favor of Liverpool.

It is hard to see the Red Devils bouncing back with three points considering their current form.

Liverpool will be without attacking options Núñez and Jota

Manager Jürgen Klopp started striker Darwin Núñez to help replace the injured Roberto Firmino after the former came off the bench to score in his Liverpool debut. However, this time was not as positive, as the 23-year-old Uruguayan was sent off with a red card in the 57th minute.

This now means that the Reds will be without Núñez in addition to Diogo Jota. Those are two critical attackers for the team. While there is a chance that Firmino could be back for this game, this is still unclear at the time of writing.

Liverpool will need wingers Luis Diaz and Mohamed Salah to carry the load in this pivotal match.

Ten Hag’s job may be at stake soon

Manager Erik ten Hag has gotten off to the worst possible start to his tenure at Old Trafford. The team has hit rock bottom following a 4-0 away loss to Brentford. This abysmal result caused ten Hag to cancel a planned day off following the match.

In fact, there have even been reports suggesting Ten Hag may be pondering his future with Manchester United if things do not improve.

The players’ effort has been called into question. Meanwhile, striker Cristiano Ronaldo has been granted permission to seek a transfer, and ten Hag is still molding the lineup to fit his system.

The question becomes, will the added pressure following this loss result in a more spirited effort against their fiercest rivals?

Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction

Manchester United 1-1 Liverpool

While Liverpool is the much better team and United is in a state of flux, there are a couple of factors at play here. The first is that Liverpool may be undermanned in this match, particularly on the attack. Next, we have a desperate United team that needs a result.

I predict this match will be tightly contested, with the hosts putting forth a much better effort to escape with a point at home.

Manchester United vs. Liverpool Best Bets

➕ Manchester United/Liverpool: Under 3.5 Goals (-164) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

This is a case where we are comfortable paying up at this price because 3.5 is a high number for a derby match, especially considering Liverpool’s undermanned attack. Moreover, we are confident that ten Hag’s side will at least put up more than a fight after such an embarrassing result last week.

Look for this match to stay at three goals or fewer.

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➕ Match Result: Draw (+350) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.5 Unit

We like the value on the draw here with United playing at home following an abysmal performance in their 4-0 loss at Brentford. This team is not as bad as they have looked so far this season.

It is tough to see the home side getting the full three points, but we will sprinkle on the draw.

Bet on this prop at BetMGM.

➕ Mohamed Salah: Anytime Goal (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

We have highlighted Liverpool’s concerns at striker with Jota and Núñez already out, while Firmino has a chance to miss this one. This means we will likely see their wingers take on more responsibility by aggressively looking for goals.

Why not go with Salah to score at any time in a match where his team desperately needs him to carry them? Again, we are getting a reasonable price at -120 odds.

Bet on this Salah prop at BetMGM.