Bristol City host Middlesbrough in Saturday’s teatime Championship game, hoping to secure back-to-back victories after a second-half comeback saw them win 3-2 at Hull last week.
Their visitors spent big in the summer but they have flattered to deceive against the better teams, with one win in 11 against top 15 opposition.
However, the Robins have won each of their last four meetings with the Teesside outfit and are 29/20 (2.45) to enjoy a sense of deja vu.
Bobby Reid has 11 goals to his name this term and is 41/20 (3.05) to bag anytime, while Aden Flint is a centre-back with an aptitude for goals with two in his last four and is a tempting price at 5/1 (6.0).
Middlesbrough don’t have the widest selection of potential match-winners, as 11 of their 24 league goals have come from Britt Assombalonga, who is 23/20 (2.15) to find the net.
In six of the 11 games in which the former Forest finisher has failed to fire though, so have Boro, therefore an eighth league clean sheet for Bristol City holds appeal at 39/20 (2.95).
Johnson’s side have netted two or more in five of their last seven games and they are a tempting 27/20 (2.35) to bag over 1.5 goals.
Not only have they shown their goalscoring credentials, they have shown it against the better sides, with ten goals in four against top seven opposition – by contrast, Middlesbrough’s scoring record against the top seven is one in five.
That’s why for our best bet, we’re backing Bristol City to rise to the big occasion with a win to nil at 29/10 (3.90).