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Nothing To Separate Milan And Inter In Title Race And Three Things We Learned About Betting From The Weekend

* Serie A Title Race Wide Open

Has the international break come at exactly the right time for Milan and the wrong one for Inter? Only two points separate the Rossoneri from losing grip at the top of the table.

Having been as short as 1.30 to win the Scudetto bookmaker William Hill have revised their prices. You can now get both Milan and Inter at an identical 2.20 to win Serie A.

Considering where the Nerazzurri were under Rafael Benitez their comeback has been immense. Even more impressive is that Inter remain in the hunt for three trophies and you can get Leonardo's team at 50.0 to repeat their treble of twelve months ago.

Milan were without their lucky charm Zlatan Ibrahimovic for the defeat against Palermo. Having been dumped out of the Champions League the former favourites are without a win in three (D2 L1) and will face a resurgent Inter post-international break.

After gazing up at Milan for most of the season the champions are back in form. Unbeaten in five (W4 D1) plus the morale boost of beating Bayern Munich has given Inter some serious momentum.

Before Milan's November win in the derby Inter had won the previous three. The Rossoneri may have the slightly easier run in especially as Inter have to go to Napoli on the penultimate weekend of the season. Milan will surely be glad of the break when Inter had them on the ropes.

Then again how about Napoli at 5.50...

Serie A Title Odds (William Hill)
Milan (1st, 62pts) @ 2.20
Inter (2nd, 60pts) @ 2.20
Napoli (3rd, 59pts) @ 5.50
Udinese (4th, 56pts) @ 15.0
Lazio (5th, 54pts) @ 81.0
* All teams have played 30 games

* Torres, Carroll, Dzeko - Who Will Score First?

Stats released after Chelsea's 2-0 win over Manchester City were rather revealing. One Blues big money signing had scored twice from two attempts on target and was proving a handful in the opposition's final third. We're not talking about Fernando Torres, but David Luiz who is proving a bargain since his January move from Benfica.

On a day when another January signing, Luis Suarez, scored Hill's have opened a book when the other strikers will finally get off the mark.

Edin Dzeko (Man City)
Games: 8
Shots: 18
Shots on target: 3

Andy Carroll (Liverpool)
Games: 2
Shots: 5
Shots on target: 3

Fernando Torres (Chelsea)
Games: 5
Shots: 10
Shots on target: 1

Which striker will score first in the league? (William Hill)
Fernando Torres @ 2.50
Andy Carroll @ 2.62
Edin Dzeko @ 3.0


Fernando Torres has now failed to score in his last seven games since joining Chelsea. We need to go back to his brace for Liverpool against Wolves in late January to find his last goals.

When will Torres finally score for Chelsea? (William Hill)
Stoke @ 2.0
Man Utd @ 5.0
Wigan @ 4.33
Man Utd (CL) @ 13.0
West Brom @ 10.0
None of these @ 7.0


Considering the poor form of Torres you may be better investing in David Luiz to continue his hot streak.

* Plenty of value in Europa League

Largely ignored in the aftermath of the Champions League draw is the Europa League odds. Former favourites Liverpool and Man City have been sent packing leaving a trio of Portuguese, two Dutch along with one Ukrainian, one Russian and Spanish outfit remaining.

Porto look the value at 3.25 to emulate their feat of 2002-03 when they last played in this competition under the UEFA Cup title. La Liga clubs have done well in Europe's second string competition in recent years and you can back Villarreal @ 4.50 to keep the trophy in Spain for another year.

One profitable scenario as recommended by Goal.com's betting blogger JD is to back two teams with single bets. Porto is a no brainer @ 3.25 and consider Man City's conquerors Dynamo Kiev @ 7.50.

Europa League Odds (William Hill)
Porto @ 3.25
Villarreal @ 4.50
Benfica @ 7.0
Dynamo Kiev @ 7.50
PSV Eindhoven @ 10.0
Twente @ 12.0
Spartak Moscow @ 12.0
Braga @ 15.0

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