Five Bets To Follow For The Weekend - Industry Experts Provide Exclusive Predictions For Goal.com

Tips from England, France and Spain are on the menu this week...
Alan Thompson
Professional Gambler & Betfair Trader
Website: Tipstar
Last week's Tip: Treble on Chelsea, Newcastle United and Manchester United to win. Single on Newcastle win
Results: Wigan 0-6 Chelsea, Newcastle 6-0 Aston Villa, Fulham 2-2 Manchester United

English Premier League - August 28th
Match Odds: Blackburn 6.0, Draw 4.0, Arsenal 1.60

I am interested in the first live game on television this weekend, the lunchtime kick off between Blackburn and Arsenal. After Arsenal’s brilliant win last weekend the bookies may have overreacted a little to the fact that it was (no disrespect) against Blackpool.

Putting Arsenal in at 8/13 (1.62) away at Blackburn is a bit short for me. The Gunners have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last ten away matches in all competitions and Blackburn have lost only one of their last 11 Premier League matches at Ewood Park and only four in 31 home games under Sam Allardyce.

Even if Arsenal do go ahead in this game, don’t worry too much as they dropped more points from winning positions away from home in the Premier League last season than any other team, including the 1-2 loss to Blackburn last season.

Recommended bets: Lay Arsenal (currently available) @ 1.69 (69/100) on the exchanges
For a couple of long shots (to very small stakes) try:
Half time Arsenal : Full time draw @ 18/1 (19.0)
Half time Arsenal : Full time Blackburn @ 66/1 (67.0)

David Mole
Goal.com's Betting & Odds Expert
Website: Ask The Bookie Archive

Last week's Tip: Blackburn to beat Birmingham, Stoke to beat Tottenham
Result: Birmingham 2-1 Blackburn, Stoke 1-2 Tottenham

English Premier League - August 28th
Match Odds: Blackburn 6.0, Draw 4.0, Arsenal 1.60
Match Odds: Blackpool 3.20, Draw 3.25, Fulham 2.30

The weekend fixtures have thrown up some very interesting inconsistencies between my own personal view of the odds and those of the bookmakers. I like to do my research without the odds in front of me and when I looked back to see where they stood, we were further apart than Tom Hicks and George Gillette on stadium building policies.

I expect Blackburn (fuelled by Allardyce’s hatred for the horrible tippy tappy way they go about the game!) to give Arsenal a game at Ewood and backing Blackburn (5.85) and 1-0 (15.66) could be profitable. I think Man City (1.83) are good value away to Sunderland and there seem to be some draws lined up for Bolton vs. Birmingham (3.23) and Aston Villa against Everton (3.17). I’ll be backing singles and doubles on those two draws.

However my main tip of the weekend comes at Bloomfield Road and I honestly fell off my chair when I saw that Fulham can be backed at 2.30 at Blackpool. Opening day excitement against an atrocious Wigan team aside, I think Fulham will continue the ‘Welcome to the Premier League’ campaign that Arsenal started last weekend.

Tip: Fulham to win at 2.30

JD
Goal.com's Betting Blogger
Website: JD's Blog Archive

Last week's Tip: Cardiff to beat Doncaster
Result: Cardiff City 4-0 Doncaster

French Ligue 1 - August 28th
Match Odds: Arles 3.25, Draw 3.0, Rennes 2.37

Rennes travel to newly promoted Arles on Saturday in France. Arles are expected to struggle all year and many will be surprised if they managed to stay up in Ligue 1 after they had a troublesome pre season where they've had to rebuild their squad from scratch. They have managed to bolster their squad recently with the addition of two Greek heroes of 2004 in Angelos Basinas and Angelos Charisteas but they've failed to pick up a point so far this season. Rennes tend to be good on the road, they won 3-0 two weeks ago away at Nancy plus they have plenty of pace up front with Ismael Bangaura and Ekoko and have talent sprinkled throughout the team.

Tip: Odds of 11/10 (2.10) are excellent on a Rennes win.

Tottenham -1 to beat Wigan. White Hart Lane is probably one of the last places that Wigan would like to travel to now. They were destroyed here last season and a disastrous start of the season has seen their confidence plummet. There are plenty of goals in Tottenham right now and they will be buoyed by their midweek dismissal of Young Boys in the Champions League play-off.

Tip: Tottenham -1 is very appealing at 4/6 (1.67)

Nikos Tsagkatakis
Titan Bet Sports Trader
Website: Titan Bet


Spanish Segunda - August 28th
Match Odds: Ponferradina 2.20, Draw 3.09, Huesca 3.11

Ponferradina had an amazing season last year when they top their group in Spain's Segunda B with 75 points. They may have lost the play-off final to Granada but I expect the momentum they gained from their promotion season to carry on at the start of this campaign. Last season defence was their strong point conceding just 21 goals in 38 games but only scoring 44 themselves. This year, on top of strengthening their defence, they also tried to address their scoring problems by adding some firepower up front with strikers Javi Lopez to come in on loan from Malaga and Juan Mayordomo on a permanent deal from Sant Andreu Barcelona. They have also added some good additions throughout their squad in other positions.

Playing in front of a passionate home crowd against an average team of the division, who didn't make any spectacular transfers to suggest that they will harbour any ambitions of promotion, I believe that Ponferradina are well set up for their first three points of the campaign.

Tip: Ponferradina -0.25 or Ponferradina 90 min

Pete Nordsted
Professional Sports Trader
Website: Premier Betting
Last Week's Tip: Three draws between Stoke V Tottenham Hotspur, West Brom V Sunderland and Fulham V Manchester United
Result: Stoke 1-2 Tottenham, West Brom 1-0 Sunderland, Fulham 2-2 Manchester United

English Premier League - August 29
Match Odds: Sunderland 4.40, Draw 3.40, Manchester City 1.92

Once again this weekend I will be carrying on my strategy of backing the draw and I will be placing three bets with Sunderland v Man City being the pick of them. Remember you only need one draw in three to come off to turn a profit.

Sunderland's home record against teams of Man City's grading last season was W2 D1 L2. Man City's away record against teams of Sunderland's grading last season was W2 D4 L0. When teams of similar grade have met the recent record is H4 D11 A3
 
Manchester City have drawn 8 of their last 15 away matches with 7 of these matches drawing at half time. Sunderland have also drawn 8 of their last 15 home games 4 of these games they gave up a half time lead.
 
The corresponding fixture last season was a 1-1 draw.
 
The draw is best priced at 3.40 with both bookmakers and betting exchanges

Tip: Sunderland v Man City (Draw 3.40)

The other draws I will be backing this weekend are Blackburn v Arsenal (4.20) and Blackpool v Fulham (3.40)

Place a bet now with Goal.com's official betting partner Titan Bet who are offering an exclusive bet £25 get £25 offer for Goal.com readersBet Now. Odds correct at time of publication. Goal.com encourages all readers who bet to do so sensibly.

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