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Betting Special: Birmingham City 12/1 to go down amidst points deduction rumours

15:11 SAST 2019/03/21
Garry Monk
The Blues have broken Financial Fair Play regulations and face a potential 12-point penalty which could plunge them into a relegation battle

Birmingham City's odds to be relegated have been slashed to 12/1 (13.0) by bet365 as they face a potential 12-point deduction in the Championship.

The Blues are in dire straits financially after spending more than £15 million on transfer fees last season, but the most shocking figure is their wage-to-turnover ratio - a key indicator of a club's sustainability.

The 2011 League Cup winners paid out a remarkable £202 in wages for every £100 they brought in last term.

As a result, Birmingham have net liabilities of £55 million and owe parent company Birmingham Sports Holdings more than £73 million, leaving them in trouble when it comes to Financial Fair Play (FFP).

The club were placed under a transfer embargo before the start of the season which they ignored when signing Kristian Pederson for £2 million from Union Berlin, which reportedly angered the Football League, who intially refused to register the Denmark Under 21 international but later relented.

Now the EFL are now set to punish the club, a process that could include a 12-point deduction. A decision is expected before the Championship action resumes after the international break.

Previously, the EFL have handed out points deductions to Leeds United (15) and Portsmouth (10), whilst Fulham and Nottingham Forest have been placed under transfer embargos for breaches of FFP.

Birmingham will be hoping to escape without a severe punishment but the bookies are certainly preparing for all possible outcomes. As such, the odds on the Blues to be relegated this season have been slashed from 33/1 (34.00) to 12/1 (13.00)  this week by bet365.

Although they sit three points above Blackburn in the table, Rovers' odds for relegation are much shorter. The Lancashire club are a massive 400/1 (401.00) to go down despite being below Birmingham in the table, such is the uncertainty over any potential punishment being handed down to the Midlands club.

Odds of 12/1 (13.00) are unlikely to last if the points deduction is confirmed, however, that price does show that the bookies still believe that Garry Monk's side are likely to beat the drop.

Such a punishment would leave Birmingham two points clear of safety, but the Blues would be unlikely to go down if they continue to produce the kind of performances that see them sitting comfortably in mid-table prior to any deduction.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.