West Ham vs Manchester City Predictions | EPL Week 1 Match Odds & Best Bets | Premier League Picks
Erling Haaland Man City 2022-23
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Pep Guardiola's team begins the campaign to defend the Premier League title with a trip to London

Manchester City’s defense of its fourth Premier League championship in five years begins Sunday, Aug. 7, at 11:30 a.m. ET with a trip to West Ham’s London Stadium.

City are once again heavy favorites to win the EPL championship, while West Ham look to build on a successful season that saw them contend for a spot in the Champions League early on before they ultimately finished seventh on the table. 

These two clubs participated in a battle that jeopardized City’s title run last year as the Irons fought to a 2-2 draw versus MCFC in May, though City rode a three-goal second half on the final day to lock in a drama-filled trophy lift.

City retooled by bringing in elite forwards in former Bundesliga star Erling Haaland and up-and-coming Argentinian Julián Álvarez to replace the departing Raheem Sterling and Gabriel Jesus in the upfront rotation.

Meanwhile, West Ham will look to upend the champs again to open this season, aiming for at least a Top-6 finish for the second time in three seasons. David Moyes’ boys recently brought on Gianluca Scamacca from Serie A’s Sassuolo via transfer; the Italy international deposited 16 goals in his home country’s top competition last year.

City lost to Tottenham to open last season, so will the Hammers repeat that feat? Let’s take a look at the West Ham vs Man City betting picks.

West Ham vs Manchester City Odds

  • 3-Way Match Result: West Ham (+750) | Draw (+400) | Manchester City (-275)

  • 2-Way Handicap: West Ham +1.5 (-130) | Manchester City -1.5 (-110)

  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-175) / Under 2.5 (+125)

Note: West Ham vs Manchester City odds are current as of Friday, July 29, at 9 a.m. ET from BetMGM Sportsbook.

BetMGM is already expecting that while Man City is a decent favorite, West Ham will keep it close, giving the 2-way handicap tight juice.

West Ham vs Manchester City Betting Tips

West Ham tied for third in EPL with 3.11 total match goals per game at home in 2021-2022. Man City, meanwhile, ranked tied for 10th with a 2.74 road goals average.

(Most stats listed come from SoccerStats.) Here’s solid evidence to look for multiple goals in the season opener.

West Ham is winless in their past 12 matches vs City.

Despite forcing that much-heralded tie in the final weeks of this past season, West Ham is 0-10-2 against Man City in their past 12 meetings.

West Ham had the second-most games in which both teams scored last year (24) – with a league-high 15 such results at home.

The latter 79% rate of “both teams score during West Ham home fixtures” should make EPL bettors shy away from betting on a clean sheet by City’s Ederson

West Ham vs Manchester City Prediction

West Ham 1:2 Manchester City

In that fabled meeting from May, Moyes’ squad jumped out to a 2-0 first-half lead, then failed to stop City from tying it late.

City controlled the pace for that first half but leaked with two crucial quick-twitch mistakes. Don’t bet on that rapid-fire West Ham scoring again as City looks to clean up their possession.

Though West Ham should hang tight, City’s deepened attack should prevail here. They now boast much more physicality up front with Haaland, who should help maintain City’s trademark forward pressure as they wear down defenses.

West Ham vs Manchester City Best Bets

Both Teams To Score in Second Half (+230) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

West Ham finished in the top half of the league with 20 goals in the second half at home last season, per SoccerStats. 

With the new transfers on both sides acclimating out of the gate, expect the first-half scoring to be relatively quiet and, in turn, open up after the halftime whistle. 

➕Exact Score: West Ham 1:2 Manchester City (+725) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Don’t empty your bankroll for this longshot, but given the Man City moneyline’s negative juice it’s time to stretch for the exact score prediction to complement the likelier bet pick of both teams scoring post-halftime.

West Ham United

form

All
AND 0 - 1 WHU
W
WHU 2 - 0 WOL
W
EVE 1 - 0 WHU
L
SIF 2 - 3 WHU
W
WHU 3 - 1 FCS
W
CHE 2 - 1 WHU
L
WHU 1 - 1 TOT
D
AVL 0 - 1 WHU
W
WHU 0 - 2 BHA
L
WHU 3 - 1 VFF
W
Manchester City

form

All
MCI 5 - 0 FCK
W
MCI 6 - 3 MUN
W
WOL 0 - 3 MCI
W
MCI 2 - 1 BVB
W
SEV 0 - 4 MCI
W
AVL 1 - 1 MCI
D
MCI 6 - 0 NFO
W
MCI 4 - 2 CRY
W
BAR 3 - 3 MCI
D
NEW 3 - 3 MCI
D
Head to Head
20 Matches (3 Draws)
2 Total wins 15
1 Home wins 9
1 Away wins 6
Last 5 Matches
1 Wins
1 Draw
3 Wins
WHU 0 - 2 MCI
WHU 2 - 2 MCI
MCI 2 - 1 WHU
WHU * 0 - 0 MCI
MCI 2 - 1 WHU
4 Goals Scored 8
Games Over 2.5 Goals 3 / 5
Both Teams Scored 3 / 5
Team Comparison
  • Attack
  • Defence
  • Distribution
  • Discipline
Player Comparison

Match Facts

  1. West Ham United have faced Manchester City on three previous occasions in their opening top-flight game of the season, losing all three and failing to score a single goal (conceded 11).
  2. Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 13 Premier League meetings with West Ham (W10 D3), only versus Fulham (14) are they currently enjoying a longer unbeaten run against sides in the top-flight in 2022-23.
  3. Only Tottenham (38) have lost more Premier League games against reigning champions than West Ham (36). Meanwhile, of all sides to have played 20+ such games in the competition, only Aston Villa (7.4%) and West Bromwich Albion (7.7%) have a lower win rate than the Hammers (9.6% - won 5/52).
  4. After losing their first Premier League match in five consecutive seasons between 2016-17 and 2020-21, West Ham won 4-2 at Newcastle last season. They last started their league season with a win in back-to-back years in 2012-13 (1-0 vs Aston Villa) and 2013-14 (2-0 vs Cardiff).
  5. Manchester City lost 1-0 to Spurs in their opening league match of last season, meaning the reigning top-flight champions have lost their opening match in three of the last six seasons (W3), having gone unbeaten in 26 consecutive seasons between 1990-91 and 2015-16 before this run.
  6. West Ham have won just one of their last seven Premier League games (D2 L4), with that victory coming at already relegated Norwich in May (4-0). The Hammers are winless in their last nine Premier League games against reigning champions (D2 L7), since a 1-0 win against Chelsea in December 2017.
  7. Manchester City have lost just one of their last 28 Premier League games (W23 D4), and are unbeaten in their last 12 (W9 D3). The Citizens are also unbeaten in their last 18 away from home (W14 D4), with their only defeat on the road last season coming in London on the opening weekend (0-1 vs Tottenham).
  8. Man City’s Jack Grealish has been involved in five goals in his six Premier League appearances against West Ham (3 goals, 2 assists), including four in his last four – against no side has he been involved in more (also 5 vs Liverpool).
  9. Man City striker Erling Haaland could be the seventh Norwegian to score on his Premier League debut, and the third to do so in the opening game of a season (Tore Andre Flo in 1997-98, Adama Diomande in 2016-17). His father – Alf Inge Haaland – made 181 Premier League appearances between 1994 and 2001, with the last of those coming for Manchester City against West Ham United in April 2001.
  10. New Man City signing Erling Haaland has been involved in seven goals in his last three games played on the opening weekend of a league season – one assist with Red Bull Salzburg in 2019-20, two goals with Borussia Dortmund in 2020-21 and two goals and two assists with Dortmund last season.
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