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Portugal vs Uruguay Predictions: World Cup Group Stage Odds & Best Bets

11:50 EAT 28/11/2022
Lusail Stadium
With La Celeste knocking the European nation out of the last World Cup, there is likely to be no love lost between these two sides

World Cup Group H action continues Monday as Portugal faces Uruguay, pairing the two pre-tournament favorites to advance to the knockout stage. Kickoff from Lusail Stadium is scheduled at 2 p.m. ET.

In the first wave of Group H games from Qatar, legendary Cristiano Ronaldo was among the goalscorers in Portugal’s 3-2 win over Ghana. Meanwhile, Uruguay played to a scoreless draw against South Korea.

These two nations last met in the 2018 World Cup, with The Sky Blue defeating Ronaldo’s side 2-1 thanks to two goals from Edinson Cavani. Expect each team to ramp up the urgency in this installment for the important second group game, which could cement a knockout stage berth for Portugal or put Uruguay at the top of the quartet.

Let’s look deeper into what could be one of Ronaldo’s final World Cup matches and find the best bets for Portugal vs Uruguay.

Portugal vs Uruguay Odds

  • 3-way handicap: Portugal (+100) | Draw (+240) | Uruguay (+290)
  • Draw No Bet: Portugal (-250) | Uruguay (+175)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 ( +105) | Under 2.5 (-150)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes (+100) | No (-130)

Portugal vs Uruguay betting lines were found at BetMGM Sportsbook and current as of 11 a.m. ET on Sunday, Nov. 27.

As shown by the heavy favorite of Under 2.5 goals (-150), the market expects Portugal to win with a low-scoring affair.

World Cup bettors might be underselling Uruguay after their tie against a solid Korea squad in the first Group H match. Cavani and Luis Suárez can still cap off scoring chances despite their advancing age.

Portugal vs Uruguay Betting Tips

  • Portugal has lost just one of its past 13 World Cup group stage outings, with seven wins and five draws.
  • The 2018 World Cup match in Sochi, Russia, between these clubs saw Cavani punctuate scoring chances despite Portugal dominating the play. Given better work around the net, a similar overwhelming approach should pay better dividends this time.
  • Fernando Santos’ side have a shot to clinch the 1H spot in the knockout stage if the earlier Korea vs Ghana match ends in a draw. Portugal might press harder if they know they can accomplish this feat Monday.
  • Expect Uruguay to push aggressively in the second half should they remain tied or trail.
  • Portugal will be without key midfielder Danilo Pereira (ribs) through the end of the group stage.

Portugal vs Uruguay Prediction

Portugal 3-2 Uruguay

Portugal’s shot-happy front trio of Ronaldo, his former Manchester United teammate Bruno Fernandes, and Atlético Madrid’s João Félix will present major problems for Uruguay’s back line.

Ronaldo’s side will dictate the tempo for much of the contest and find gaps to expose closer to goal.

Despite Portugal’s personnel advantage, Uruguay will be forced to play a more attacking style after their first-match draw, in order to hold position as the second qualifying team.

That should mean a more wide-open style, particularly after halftime, which could mean more frequent pushes from veteran goal depositors Cavani and Suarez.

Portugal vs Uruguay Best Bets

Over 2.5 Goals (+115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

Fine, I’ll take the plus-money bait. The plethora of pure scorers for each side might mean more quality shots, even if the quantity and pace lag.

Both Teams To Score (+100) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 unit

If you’re going to keep handing me plus-odds that match my logical read on a likely frantic affair, I’m going to keep taking them.