Newcastle United vs Manchester City Predictions: EPL Matchweek Three Odds & Best Bets

Kevin De Bruyne Manchester City Bournemouth 2022-23Getty

With EPL matchweek three kicking off, Manchester City, the defending Premier League Champions, will head to St James’ Park to take on Newcastle United on Sunday, Aug. 21.

Manchester City rank as one of two clubs to have started the 2022-23 EPL season with two wins, and they’ve done so in a commanding fashion. Their 4-0 victory over AFC Bournemouth was a walk in the park, as they led 3-0 heading into halftime.

Newcastle United has had a successful start to their Premier League campaign with a 2-0 victory over Nottingham Forest, and most recently, a draw against Brighton & Hove Albion. Both Newcastle and Man City are the only clubs yet to concede a goal this season.

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During the 2021-22 season, Manchester City dominated Newcastle in both meetings, outscoring the Magpies 9-0, with their most recent matchup a 5-0 victory for the Sky Blues. Will this matchup have a different outcome? Or will Manchester City continue their strong start?

Let’s take a look at current betting odds and get some best bets and predictions for this match taking place on Sunday, Aug. 21.

Gio Annatelli’s EPL betting record: 5-4, +1.9 units

Newcastle United vs Manchester City Odds

-3-Way Handicap: Newcastle United (+700) | Manchester City (-275) | Draw (+400)

-Draw No Bet: Newcastle United (+500) / Manchester City (-900)

-Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-185) / Under 2.5 (+130)

Newcastle United vs Manchester City odds are current as of Tuesday, Aug. 16, from BetMGM Sportsbook, unless otherwise noted.

Manchester City have won the last three times on the road against Newcastle United, and their strong start to the season slots them as favorites in this matchup.

This is the best value so far this year on betting on Man City to win at (-275), as they’ve been heavily favored through the first two matchweeks.

Newcastle United vs Manchester City Betting Tips

Manchester City will continue their strong start

Pep Guardiola couldn’t have asked for a better start from his squad. Against West Ham United, Erling Haaland scored two goals in his EPL debut, and against Bournemouth, Man City had three different players score, all in the first half.

The defense has also held firm for the defending Premier League champions, as Ederson has back-to-back clean sheets, and the team held Bournemouth to just three shots, with only one being on target.

Manchester City are the top club in the Premier League, and they’ll keep rolling against Newcastle United in their quest to claim the title for a third successive season.

Newcastle will prove tough test at home

This isn’t the same Newcastle team from last season, and they seem to have greatly improved from the previous campaign. After a successful start against Nottingham Forest that saw a lot of offense, the Magpies had a defensive display to draw against Brighton.

On the road, Newcastle struggled on the attack, as the club only put up four shots with one on target. But the defense was on display in the match, as Nick Pope was a brick wall in net with six saves and a clean sheet for the Magpies.

While Nottingham Forest are in their first season back in the Premier League since the 1998-99 season and Brighton don’t compare to Manchester City, Newcastle will enter this matchup with confidence and momentum, along with the home crowd behind them.

Man City will control possession

Newcastle controlled most of the possessions against Nottingham Forest, but lost the possession battle against Brighton 54-46. In Manchester City’s first two matches, they enjoyed an average of 67% possession.

Man City have plenty of options on the attack, as displayed by getting three goals from three different players in their last match, and none of them being Haaland. The Sky Blues will suffocate the Magpies at home.

If Newcastle wants to minimize the scoring, they’ll need to sit way back on their heels and rely on the counter-attack, which won’t come often.

Newcastle United vs Manchester City Prediction

Newcastle United 0-2 Manchester City

Newcastle won’t get blown out by Manchester City like last season, but the Magpies will still walk away with a loss at home against the side from the Etihad stadium.

Manchester City are too talented and should have no problem winning this match. However, Newcastle won’t make it easy for them, as the back line has looked good through two matches, and Pope is coming off a six-save performance.

Newcastle United vs Manchester City Best Bets

➕ Under 2.5 Goals (+130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Both clubs enter this match without allowing a goal, leading the Premier League. And while Man City sits atop the EPL with six goals, Newcastle’s back line has looked solid early on.

The visitors are expected to control the possession time and dominate the attacks, so Newcastle United will sit deeper and emphasize defense more heavily.

Look for Manchester City to win, but the scoring to be at a minimum.

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➕ Multiple Correct Score: 0-1, 0-2, or 0-3 (+200) at BetMGM

WAGER: 1 Unit

Pep Guardiola’s side will be on the attack for most of this match, while Newcastle will be on the defense. As a result, the Magpies won’t have many chances to score, and when they do get those chances, they won’t be able to convert.

The backline combo of João Cancelo, Nathan Aké, Rúben Dias, and Kyle Walker is too sturdy, supplementing Ederson holding it down in net. The Sky Blues have held opponents to a combined nine shots and two on target.

Bet on Manchester City at BetMGM.

➕ Erling Haaland: Last Goalscorer (+210) at BetMGM

WAGER: 0.5 Units

Haaland had a terrific start to his Man City career with a near Hat Trick against West Ham United. He followed that up by assisting on a goal from Ilkay Gündogan.

Every team in the Premier League knows how special a player Haaland is, so there will be extra focus on containing him. That will open up opportunities for his teammates to score, as seen in the last match.

Newcastle will come out covering Haaland, but once Manchester City scores the first one, the focus will shift, the back line will lose focus, and Haaland will strike. However, with this match expected to be a low-scoring affair, Haaland will be the last to score in this one.

Bet on this player prop at BetMGM.