Having lost the last two encounters against this opposition, his side are 17/4 (5.25) outsiders with dabblebet to record a big win here.
Five of the previous nine meetings between these teams have resulted in draws after 90 minutes, and there are odds of 13/5 (3.60) available on them playing out yet another stalemate.
Nice striker Mario Balotelli is expected to start at his home club ground, having found the net against Saudi Arabia in his first appearance for the national team in four years.
Having failed to score over two legs in their disastrous World Cup play-off defeat against Sweden, the Azzurri should be delighted to have Balotelli back and firing after a long spell in the international wilderness.
The 27-year-old's record of 14 goals in 34 caps is superior to anyone else in the squad, although Andrea Belotti and Lorenzo Insigne should also feel more confident of replicating their excellent club form without Gian Piero Ventura in command.
With Didier Deschamp’s team having scored in each of their last seven matches but kept just one clean sheet in the most recent four, odds of 21/20 (2.05) offer solid value on a rejuvenated Italy team joining them on the scoresheet in an entertaining clash.