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World Cup Betting Tips: 22/1 dabble of the day for England v Belgium

12:15 EAT 28/06/2018
Gareth Southgate England World Cup 2018
Thursday's clash in Kaliningrad will decide who progresses to the last 16 as group winners and our tipster has picked out a longshot worth considering

The 2018 World Cup group stage comes to a close and there is a 22/1 (23.0) dabble of the day that looks well worth backing as a longshot ahead of the final fixtures getting underway.

Having each won both of their opening two World Cup games, England's clash with Belgium could have a slightly odd feel about it.

With progression for both European nations already assured, there is a school of thought that suggests it may be beneficial not to win the group and avoiding the tougher side of the draw in the process.

That's a theory that Roberto Martinez is seemingly subscribing to with the Belgium boss likely to rest several of his star players and plenty more rotation too. Romelu Lukaku has already been ruled out with Eden Hazard also set to be rested after picking up a knock in the previous match.

Gareth Southgate though, has spoken of the importance of aiming to win the game and keep up the momentum achieved against Tunisia and Panama. The dismal showings at recent tournaments mean the 47-year-old is unlikely to follow his managerial counterpart in wholesale rotation.

There could be some changes for England of course but if their opposition are more than content not to push for a victory that'd see them win the group, then backing the Three Lions makes sense.

While their attacks have fired very effectively, neither side have looks especially comfortable at the back. England have yet to keep a clean sheet and if Belgium bring about heavy squad rotation then both teams to score also looks a shrewd option to include in any wager.

Finally, one of the deciding factors in establishing which team wins the group could be the number of yellow and red cards they've received in the tournament so far. This comes into effect if the match is looking likely to end all square and therefore the usual points, goal tallies and head-to-head records would be level.

Martinez's side already lead the card count by one caution but it would be no surprise to see reserve players picking up bookings to ensure that the second-placed side remain there in the event of the match ending all square.

Given their differing approaches to this final match, backing England to win, both teams to score and Belgium to be shown over two cards looks a worthy longshot at 22/1 (23.0).

England to win, BTTS and over 2 Belgium cards at 22/1 (23.0) with dabblebet