Both are among the Championship’s form teams but they have contrasting targets. The hosts have automatic promotion in their sights, while their neighbours need to secure survival.
Villa are 4/6 (1.67) favourites with Paddy Power to record a seventh consecutive league win for the first time since 1990.
Birmingham, meanwhile, are 4/1 (5.0) to clinch a surprise win in B6, which would be their first since 2004 - when Steve Bruce was their manager.
A repeat of the draw we saw at St Andrews back in October meanwhile, is 13/5 (3.6) .
With Jonathan Grounds out with a serious leg injury, Cohen Bramall is likely to start at left-back.
Derby day specialist Gabriel Agbonlahor is likely to feature and is 13/2 (7.5) to score last, but Jonathan Kodjia is a long-term absentee.
The case for unders
Aston Villa have won 1-0 on three of the last four occasions they have hosted Blues and a repeat is 9/2 (5.5).
The other game in that sequence was a 0-0 draw, so a fifth consecutive Villa Park grudge match that sees under 1.5 goals might appeal at 15/8 (2.88).
Alternatively, the hosts can be backed for a clean sheet at a tempting 11/10 (2.1).
Tips and predictions
Villa have conceded just 11 first half goals this season and Birmingham only 16; both rank in the top nine for that statistic and given it’s a derby, we can expect an especially tight opening period here.
Our best bet, therefore, is the 13/8 (2.63) on under 0.5 first half goals.
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