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Aston Villa v Birmingham City Betting Preview: Latest odds, team news, tips and predictions

14:26 EAT 11/02/2018
Aston Villa Birmingham
Villa and Blues meet in a fierce Second City Derby that will have implications at both ends of the Championship and we predict a tightly-fought affair

Long-standing foes Aston Villa and Birmingham City clash at Villa Park at noon on Sunday.

Both are among the Championship’s form teams but they have contrasting targets. The hosts have automatic promotion in their sights, while their neighbours need to secure survival.

Match odds

Villa are 4/6 (1.67) favourites with Paddy Power to record a seventh consecutive league win for the first time since 1990.

Birmingham, meanwhile, are 4/1 (5.0) to clinch a surprise win in B6, which would be their first since 2004 - when Steve Bruce was their manager.

A repeat of the draw we saw at St Andrews back in October meanwhile, is 13/5 (3.6) .

Team News

With Jonathan Grounds out with a serious leg injury, Cohen Bramall is likely to start at left-back.

Derby day specialist Gabriel Agbonlahor is likely to feature and is 13/2 (7.5) to score last, but Jonathan Kodjia is a long-term absentee.

The case for unders

Aston Villa have won 1-0 on three of the last four occasions they have hosted Blues and a repeat is 9/2 (5.5).

The other game in that sequence was a 0-0 draw, so a fifth consecutive Villa Park grudge match that sees under 1.5 goals might appeal at 15/8 (2.88).

Alternatively, the hosts can be backed for a clean sheet at a tempting 11/10 (2.1).

Tips and predictions

Villa have conceded just 11 first half goals this season and Birmingham only 16; both rank in the top nine for that statistic and given it’s a derby, we can expect an especially tight opening period here.

Our best bet, therefore, is the 13/8 (2.63) on under 0.5 first half goals.

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Under 0.5 first half goals 13/8 (2.63) for a 2pt stake with Paddy Power